Russian Pragmatism: making the right choices in 2016
By Samuel Rogers.
For the remainder of the second half of the second decade of the twenty-first century, Russia has an unprecedented number of internal and external issues (addressed below), which have combined to reach a critical point, not seen since the end of communism and the collapse of the Soviet Union a quarter of a century ago. Taking these concerns together, they have the potential for increased internal upheaval in the form of a repeat of the street protests in 2011, high levels of capital flight (though this risk receded slightly in late 2015) and further deterioration in relations with 'partners' such as the US and European states are genuinely realistic. The list of problems that Russia faces is long and has increased, especially since the onset of the Ukraine Crisis and the annexation of Crimea in February 2014. The issues can be divided into two categories: internal and external.