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Cooperation and values at the heart of UK engagement on conflict

Article by Rt Hon. Andrew Mitchell MP

December 6, 2021

Cooperation and values at the heart of UK engagement on conflict

In the aftermath of the Cold War, the future trajectory of the world seemed assured. The political philosopher Francis Fukuyama even wrote an obituary of the past, proclaiming the end of humanity’s ideological evolution and with it, the ‘universalisation of western liberal democracy as the final form of government.’[1] More than a new beginning, this was the end of history.

 

This optimism was not unfounded. The West had won. The battle of ideologies produced a teleological triumph for liberal democracy. With the decline of great power rivalries, the prospect of nuclear cataclysm was diminished, while the principle of cooperation among nations espoused by victorious western allies after World War II was vindicated. Institutions such as the United Nations, the World Trade Organisation, NATO, and the European Commission would be free to spread peace and prosperity throughout the world.

 

Indeed, if 20th century devastation had taught the world anything, it was that countries had more to gain by working together than by languishing in a distrustful state of isolation. Internationalism was the antidote to destructive nationalism.

 

However, things have not quite turned out as they were supposed to. Nationalism has made a comeback. World power rivalries are on the rise once again, with Washington, Beijing and Moscow jostling for dominance. Public anger at traditional centres of power has resulted in demands for protection from perceived external threats. Internationalism is being discredited as an antagonistic rather than defensive force, while the language of cooperation is being replaced with calls for tribal solidarity.

 

Brexit, the election of Donald Trump and the rise of far-right candidates in Germany and Italy are just a few recent examples of how the international rules-based model that has dominated geopolitical relations for 70 years is being challenged – ironically by some of its own architects. However, while shutting out the world may make popular politics at home, it makes terrible diplomacy. As Professor Paul Miller recently explained, ‘if nationalism worries about bigger fish in the ocean, internationalism worries about the poison in the water’.[2]

 

We are beginning to witness the toxic consequences of state-centric resurgence. The United States’ chaotic retreat from Afghanistan is not only plunging the country into a renewed reign of terror but threatens to destabilise the wider region. A US action, a manifestation of government foreign policy, being constrained by public uncertainty and anxiety. It was hoped that the election of President Joe Biden would prompt a softening of Trump’s ‘America First’ policy, but his actions in office so far demonstrate that this is easier said than done. That it was executed with little consultation with US allies further confirms the derelict state of multilateralism.

 

The UK is also retreating from the international platform, invoking the pretext of domestic economic difficulties to justify pulling back our soft power globally, with tragic results. We know that the Chancellor’s decision to cut foreign aid spending from 0.7 per cent to 0.5 per cent of GNI represents merely one per cent of his COVID borrowing. The cuts will hardly skim the surface of our financial woes but will almost certainly lead to the deaths of 100,000 children and the suffering of millions more.

 

Soft power, something the UK has excelled at historically, is one of the most powerful tools in any country’s diplomatic arsenal. Aid is a veritable lifeline and a source of hope. It has helped educate millions of women and girls, brought relief to conflict zones and bolstered fragile health systems. However, the decisions on Afghanistan and foreign aid represent much more than a moral failure.

 

There is a disturbing paradox at play: populist policies may appeal to narrow nationalist sensibilities, but ultimately they may negate the national interest. It is incontrovertible that the leading issues of the day – climate change, security, coronavirus, poverty, trade, and migration – cannot be dealt with in isolation, because the problems they create in one part of the world will eventually land here at home. Their resolution calls for closer international cooperation. General Mattis famously remarked that ‘the more you cut aid, the more I need to spend on ammunition’.[3] General Mattis was right.

 

There are other problems. Nationalist feelings often assume authoritarian expressions. The post-Cold War aspiration to expand NATO and the EU to its Eastern European neighbours while promoting liberal agendas has not lived up to expectations. Poland and Hungary, once viewed as the hopes for post-Soviet democracy, are appearing increasingly undemocratic, as clampdowns on media and political opponents become more common.

 

Meanwhile, Xi’s China is using its economic power to consolidate authority at home, has ominously spread its monied influence abroad and demonstrated that economic integration does not produce the desired democratic results. Russia has revived its own territorial ambitions supported by an increasingly belligerent foreign policy.

 

Derek Shearer, a former American Ambassador during the Clinton era, described this state of play as a return to ‘great power politics’.[4] This is gravely worrying because it increases possibly the biggest threat to international order: a breakdown in communication and dialogue. When leaders stop talking, they not only risk intensifying suspicion and hostility, but the possibility of catastrophic miscalculations.

 

The Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962 – seen as one of the most tense and threatening moments in the Cold War – is a stark case in point. The stand-off sparked by the American Government’s discovery that the Soviet Union were assembling nuclear missiles in Cuba brought President John F. Kennedy and Premier Nikita Khrushchev eyeball to eyeball – both leaders apparently ready to risk World War III.

 

The crisis ended when the Soviets accepted a pledge not to invade Cuba in return for the withdrawal of their missiles. On the surface this was an unequal deal with the result that President Kennedy has been hailed the hero of the confrontation. However, Kennedy’s real success lay not in his public displays of power, his real strength was that he maintained communication with his Soviet counterparts despite the immense pressures to go to war. We now know that in the end it was quiet, behind the scenes negotiation and continuing communication which secured the safety of the world.

 

The important lesson here is that security depended first and foremost on the commitment of two very different leaders to keep talking. The famous hotline established between Washington and Moscow on the heels of the crisis epitomised the importance of this very simple idea that keeping open a line of communication could mean the difference between life and death. In present day terms, the UK has considerable experience at the United Nations and other international institutions, as well as in regional and national fora. Talking to people is always the right thing to do and the UK is well placed to negotiate and assist with conflict resolution and mitigation, with the aim of bringing order to chaos.

 

I wish to emphasise the word ‘order’ as opposed to ‘peace’ in relation to internationalist pursuits. One of the reasons liberal internationalism is being discredited is a belief that it represents a utopian purpose which cannot be served. World affairs is full of hypocrisy and double standards which none of the existing systems have been able to square. Failed military interventions, notably in Iraq, have convinced many that the best action is inaction. This of course is untrue. One of the tragedies of the hasty exodus from Afghanistan is that our efforts there were working. For all the difficulties the country still faced, Afghanistan of 2021 was unrecognisable from Afghanistan in 2001. Sinews of state and civil society were burgeoning. Public services were being delivered. There was more education, better healthcare and improved financial management. Gender equality, once regarded an elusive dream, became an attainable aspiration. Alas, much of the progress was overlooked. The shadow of past misjudgements continued to loom large in people’s minds, their faith in the international system’s ability to deliver peace and fairness all but lost. However, just as intervention can in hindsight be judged a mistake, so too can non-intervention. The world needs a new strategy.

 

In the introduction to A World Restored, the eminent Washington strategist Henry Kissinger argued that preoccupations with peacemaking, though noble, were counterproductive since ‘the fear of war becomes a weapon in the hands of the most ruthless’.[5] In Kissinger’s view, peacemaking was a gradual process that required time and the strategic patience to cultivate the right global conditions. The relative stability and state of non-war between Israel and Egypt post 1973 – which eventually led to the Camp David peace agreement – was attributed to this very strategy. Perhaps what the world should be aspiring to, first and foremost, is not universal reconciliation, but global stability.

 

Kissinger was controversial, but his template could help lift internationalism out of its present malaise. Global leaders need to articulate simple objectives to rebuild the trust on which cooperation depends. They need to make a fresh case for internationalism based not on lofty ideals but on pragmatism, setting out the importance, but also the limits of, positive engagement. The public will come on board if they feel their interests are being defended. The goal should be to build a consensus which would make a pluralistic world creative rather than destructive.

 

The good news is that we have the structures in place. The UN may not seem as formidable as it once was, but unlike the League of Nations, it is still going. And if it did not exist, we would need to invent it. Countries cannot afford to disengage. Conflict, for example, is in essence development in reverse. Tackling the drivers of conflict through aid and investment will not only help improve the lives of the people directly affected, but help create a safer world. The Cold War may be dead, but the nuclear spectre is far from buried. Fragile states are blighted by war and disease. Extremist forces prey on the most vulnerable. Poverty and inequality abound. These are complex and interconnected challenges which, left unchecked, will eventually lay themselves at our door. All countries, but particularly the UK and the US, must lead the charge for a recalibrated internationalist strategy to address them.

 

It is important to remember that the tug of war between internationalism and nationalism is not new, but they are not necessarily mutually exclusive. In 1926, the Chinese Professor David Yui argued that to love one’s own country was right and natural. Nationalism need not be negative – so long as it does not come at the expense of others. The context he was writing in referred primarily to the link between nationalism and war. But it could also be applied to the questions of how, why and to what extent we should engage today. Yui would no doubt argue that abandoning people in their hour of need on the premise of national self-interest is destructive. Instead, leaders should capitalise ‘on our differing national interests for the common good’.[6]

 

Similarly the ‘idealist’ Professor Alfred Zimmern reminded audiences in 1923 that the purpose of foreign policy was principally to serve the national interest. If internationalism failed, it was because states ‘followed the least line of effort’.[7] To put it bluntly, it is lazy politics.

 

The world has changed. The UK has changed. Countries and people are brought ever closer through evolving technologies and the sprint towards globalisation. But if our progress is shared, so are the challenges we all face. That’s why it’s vital we protect the international structures and systems we have worked so hard to establish. For our part, Britain sits at many of the world’s political and cultural crossroads: the UN, Commonwealth, NATO, and the English language. Our influence and experience should not be understated and we should use it to help these institutions reclaim their founding principles, because working together is the only way forward. Internationalism is not a choice between ‘us’ and ‘them’. It is the difference between chaos and order, between evolution and regression. We know where narrow nationalism leads. We must not allow it to be tested to destruction before internationalism is legitimised once more.

 

Andrew Mitchell was Secretary of State for International Development from May 2010 until he became Government Chief Whip in September 2012. He was appointed to the Privy Council in 2010. Prior to joining the cabinet, he held numerous junior positions in Government (1992-1997) and in opposition (2003-2010). He has been the Member of Parliament for Sutton Coldfield since 2001. Previously he was Member of Parliament for Gedling. A graduate of Jesus College, Cambridge, he is a fellow at Cambridge University; a Visiting Fellow at Harvard University; and an Honorary Professor in the School of Social Sciences for the University of Birmingham. He is a member of the Strategy Advisory Committee at the Oxford Centre for Islamic Studies.

 

[1] Francis Fukuyama, The End of History?, The National Interest, No. 16 (Summer 1989), pp. 3-18, Center for the National Interest, https://www.jstor.org/stable/24027184

[2] Paul D. Miller, The rebirth of internationalism?, Atlantic Council, October 2019, https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/the-rebirth-of-internationalism/

[3] Mattis’ remarks came in 2013 in response to a question on foreign aid by Senator Roger Wicker. They were often cited during the Trump administration, when Mattis served as Secretary of Defense, when attempts were made to cut the aid budget. Dan Lamothe, Retired generals cite past comments from Mattis while opposing Trump’s proposed foreign aid cuts, The Washington Post, February 2017, https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/checkpoint/wp/2017/02/27/retired-generals-cite-past-comments-from-mattis-while-opposing-trumps-proposed-foreign-aid-cuts/

[4] Peter S. Goodman, The Post-World War II Order Is Under Assault From the Powers That Built It, The New York Times, March 2018, https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/26/business/nato-european-union.html

[5] Henry Kissinger, 1923-. A World Restored: Metternich, Castlereagh, and the Problems of Peace, 1812-22. Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1973.

[6] David TZ Yui, Nationalism and internationalism (an address before the Rotary Club of Shanghai, November 26, 1926), Digital repository, Trinity College, Hartford, Connecticut, https://digitalrepository.trincoll.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1061&context=moore

[7] Alfred Zimmern, Are Nationalism and Internationalism compatible?, Foreign Affairs, June 1923, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/europe/1923-06-15/nationalism-and-internationalism

Footnotes
    Related Articles

    A ‘Force for Peace’? UK peacebuilding and peacemaking and FCACs

    Article by Dr Alexander Ramsbotham and Dr Teresa Dumasy

    A ‘Force for Peace’? UK peacebuilding and peacemaking and FCACs

    UK involvement in peacebuilding and peacemaking has taken steps forwards and backwards over the last ten years. We have a better understanding of conflict, its drivers and relationship to inclusive and sustainable development. We have more tools to understand how conflict is changing and for effective peacebuilding and peacemaking responses.

     

    However, the strategic promise in successive UK government policy documents to prevent conflict and build peace has failed to translate consistently into operational practice and impact. And there are still major gaps in our knowledge and political commitment to peacebuilding, as developments in Afghanistan, South Sudan, Syria and Yemen tragically attest. The UK needs to acknowledge our own shortcomings and build on our strengths in order to move forward.

     

    What have we got right and what have we got wrong, and what lessons can we draw to help the UK be a ‘force for peace’ in the coming decade? As we explain detail below, UK foreign policy needs to make three key changes in order to achieve a ‘pivot to peace’:

     

    1. Centre peace: peacebuilding and peacemaking should not be in competition with other UK policy priorities for fragile and conflict affected countries, but at the heart of them: addressing violent conflict is a precondition for advancing sustainable stability, not an inevitable product of other policy interventions.
    2. Boost ‘bottom-up’: local peacemaking and peacebuilding deliver – they are not luxuries or add-ons, but key components of an effective peace strategy. Local peacebuilding is severely under-resourced, however, even in comparison with more established forms of peace mediation that are already struggling for recognition and support. Resourcing it properly is the next step.
    3. Prioritise partnership: partnership is key to effective peacemaking and peacebuilding – conflict is too complex and systemic for any one country or institution to tackle single-handedly. Working authentically in local partnership is the hardest, but most important challenge for UK Government and civil society alike to achieve our peace ambitions.

     

    Detangling the jargon: who is building and making what?

    To start with, in a field rife with jargon, we need to be clear what we’re talking about. Peacemaking is about resolving violent conflict – peacebuilding about transforming its root causes and drivers. Both can help prevent conflict and are essential for peace.[1] But they are often conflated and confused with other conflict responses, such as peacekeeping, stabilisation and security – activities designed to ‘manage’ or ‘contain’ conflict.

     

    These are all important parts of the conflict response spectrum, but lack of clarity of what approach is being used where, when, how and why is a problem. It can quickly dilute and undermine a long-term focus on tackling drivers of conflict, and on building legitimate institutions and relationships that can sustain peace. Initiatives to manage, contain, resolve and transform violent conflict can easily work against each other unless carefully strategised, managed and coordinated.

     

    We also need to be clear who we are talking about when we refer to the ‘UK’. The 2021 Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy commits to ‘harnessing the full range of government capabilities’ to work on conflict and instability, ‘placing greater emphasis on addressing the drivers of conflict’.[2] UK Government leadership and action on peacebuilding is vital. But UK capabilities for peacebuilding reach way beyond Government, to civil society and NGOs, the private sector, academia and Parliament.

     

    The complexity of conflicts requires imagination in terms of who can best help to resolve what across the range of UK knowledge and capabilities. But even more fundamentally, it is the people living in the midst of conflicts who are best placed to understand and transform them. They hold a wealth of (often untapped) peacebuilding knowledge and agency. Our job as the ‘UK’ is to listen and to support them. The concept of working ‘in partnership’ needs a refresh.

     

    The UK as a force for peace – forward steps

    UK policy frameworks have made important progress over the last ten years in recognising the importance of conflict prevention and resolution to sustainable development, and of inclusive dialogue and negotiation to achieve this. UK-based civil society has often worked closely with Government on the development of thinking on effective conflict response.

     

    In 2011 the UK Building Stability Overseas Strategy (BSOS) asserted that tackling conflict and building stability is in the UK’s moral and national interest. It emphasised prevention, using evidence of what works, legitimate institutions and inclusive politics, and the need for dialogue to prevent and manage conflict.[3] BSOS gave way to the (then) Department for International Development’s 2016 Building Stability Framework, which stressed that tackling conflict ‘underpins the fight against global poverty’. It identified five ‘pillars’ of sustainable stability: fair power structures; inclusive economic development; conflict resolution mechanisms, both formal and informal; effective and legitimate institutions, both state and non-state; and a supportive regional environment.[4]

     

    The UK has also been active in global policy. In 2015 the UK Government and civil society championed the inclusion of peace into the United Nations’ 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development – in particular Goal 16 to promote just, peaceful and inclusive societies, as well as the integration of conflict and gender across the framework. The UK has played a leading role in highlighting the link between gender and conflict, and in championing the global Women, Peace and Security agenda, through four successive UK National Action Plans in 2006, 2010, 2014 and 2018. These have included commitments to support women mediators, as well as to increase women’s meaningful participation in decision-making in conflict prevention and peacebuilding.[5]

     

    UK conflict policy and guidance has sought to be more responsive to analysis and evidence of how change really happens. In 2018, the UK Stabilisation Unit – established in 2007 as a ‘centre of expertise on conflict, stabilisation, security and justice’ in the UK Government – presented policy guidance on Elite Bargains and Political Deals, which advanced UK Government thinking about how to support peace processes and political transitions in fragile and conflict affected states, based on an extensive evidence base of case studies. It emphasised the need to align peace deals with the underlying distribution of power and resources, how external support can help make deals ‘stick’, and the importance – and challenges – of including ‘elites and their constituencies’.[6]

     

    Integrated and joint capabilities have been a growing feature of the UK Government approach – from the Conflict Prevention Pool, to the Conflict Stability and Security Fund, cross-government geographic units, and the Joint Assessment of Conflict and Stability (JACS) tool for conflict analysis. Gender has been increasingly integrated into analysis and programming. In 2020 a Mediation and Reconciliation Hub was established in the Stabilisation Unit to enhance the UK Government’s competence and contribution to peacemaking and peacebuilding. And the 2021 Integrated Review commits to a more strategic and integrated approach to tackling political and social drivers of conflict, continuing support to global efforts and developing diplomacy and tools such as mediation.

     

    UK as a force for peace – backward steps

    Alongside these advances, the last ten years have also seen negative developments, regression and inconsistency in both policy and practice. These range from cuts to aid budgets that facilitate peacebuilding, lopsided strategies and capacities, compressed timeframes and overly securitised responses to conflict, despite the call for an urgent focus on inclusive approaches to conflict prevention by the UN and World Bank in 2018.[7]

     

    Commitments on paper to peacebuilding and peacemaking have not been sufficiently nor appropriately resourced in practice. This is not just a problem for the UK. Globally, peace is chronically under-resourced, even within wider shortfalls in development funding and capacity.[8] It is hard to get support for building peace capacity given the timeframe for making and building peace is years and decades, rather than months. The results of peace efforts are also notoriously difficult (but not impossible) to measure – and to claim credit for. Most recently, in 2021 the Government reduced the budget for the Conflict, Stability and Security Fund (CSSF) by £492 million, of which at least £348.9 million was Official Development Assistance (ODA).[9] And in 2020 the Government decided to reduce ODA from 0.7 to 0.5 per cent of Gross National Income – shortly after announcing an increase in defence spending of over £16 billion.

     

    There are policy tensions between UK aspirations for national security and peace. As others have noted, these are evident in UK defence and security investments in the capabilities of state partners, despite the fact that their repressive behaviour can put civilians at greater risk (think Saudi Arabia and Egypt) and that state-based violence is the cause of the majority of conflict deaths.[10] UK counter-terrorism laws and sanctions can also clash with peacebuilding and conflict resolution objectives, for example when the listing of armed groups as ‘terrorists’ constrains third party contacts to explore scope for reducing violence and for finding political solutions to conflict.[11] In this and other areas, the peacebuilding and conflict prevention intent in UK policy and legislation is ambiguous or lacking, making it difficult for peace objectives to win through other policy trade-offs. The risk, and often reality, is that UK security interventions can at times undermine rather than strengthen the potential impact of peacemaking and peacebuilding, and at worst exacerbate conflict.

     

    In addition, the more recent acknowledgement in government strategies of exclusion as a driver of conflict – and of inclusion as a driver of peace – is not reflected in the attention to and resourcing of peacemaking and peacebuilding capacity at multiple levels of society. Many people maintain an old-fashioned view of peacemaking as an external mediator brokering formal talks between governments and rebels. Political attention and resources tend to focus on this. But conflicts are evolving all the time, bringing an increasing range of challenges, such as the proliferation of armed groups, cross-border conflicts, gender-based violence, misinformation, and localised conflicts. Peacemaking capacity too is changing fast: diverse women and youth are active in mediation, including at local levels; and we are seeing increasing prevalence of private diplomacy and digital mediation. This less conventional, but essential range of peacebuilding capacity gets comparatively less attention and support.

     

    UK as a force for peace: a forward jump?

    How could the UK, drawing on all its capabilities for peace, be a force for good on peacebuilding and peacemaking in the coming decade and beyond? We have identified three priorities for the UK to better realise its peace ambitions.

     

    Centre peace: Peacebuilding and peacemaking should not be in competition with other UK policy priorities for fragile and conflict affected countries (FCACs), but at the heart of them: we need peacebuilding and peacemaking capacity in order to face existing and new challenges to UK and global security, including to mitigate conflicts exacerbated by climate change, to negotiate the power shifts required to prevent climate catastrophe and to face the social, economic and political consequences of COVID-19. Violent conflict is a key driver of fragility and a major impediment to development. Addressing violent conflict is a sine qua non for advancing sustainable stability in FCACs.

     

    Evidence shows we currently know more about ending war – stabilising a conflict situation – than building peace.[12] But work that addresses deeper drivers of violence, such as supporting the meaningful participation of habitually excluded groups, like young people or women, has also been shown to be make peace processes effective and sustainable.[13] Peacemaking and peacebuilding can contribute to lasting stability that works for everyone.

     

    Our own society here in the UK is fractured and conflicted. We are only just coming to terms with the legacy of our colonial past. Peacebuilders and peacemakers can help negotiate the open societies and civic space required for the ‘just, peaceful and inclusive society’ foreseen in Goal 16 of the 2030 UN Agenda for Sustainable Development. The fact that conflict challenges exist does not mean peacemaking and peacebuilding have failed, it means we need them more.

     

    Boost bottom-up: Peacebuilding is critically under-funded compared with other foreign policy instruments – despite it being inexpensive relative to military responses, or the long-term economic impact of conflict. The quality of funding and support matters as much as quantity. Peacebuilding and peacemaking takes time and people, to build trust, and to change attitudes, behaviours and structures that perpetuate violent conflict. Local peacemaking and peacebuilding are particularly under-resourced, despite growing recognition of their importance. As the UN has acknowledged, ‘mediation has to move beyond political and military elites and more effectively include efforts at the local level to help build peace from the ground up’.[14]

     

    Local peacebuilding delivers. It is not a luxury or an add-on. In northeast Nigeria for example, where the Boko Haram insurgency and Islamic State in West Africa continue to wreak havoc on communities, local peacebuilders are facilitating reintegration back into communities of disaffected fighters and others associated with armed groups.[15] Local peacebuilding is also providing avenues for excluded groups to actively engage, such as young people who are often seen primarily as part of the ‘conflict problem’. Conciliation Resources has been supporting Youth Peace Platforms in northeast Nigeria, which have been working with the most vulnerable and excluded, providing space for young men and women to talk, listen and learn new skills for employment and for resolving local conflicts.[16]

     

    UK policy and practical support needs to pivot to people and organisations working at local levels. High-level agreements between elites that do not have broad buy-in are much less likely to last. In Central African Republic (CAR), numerous efforts to negotiate peace at the national level have broken down. The most recent peace accord signed by government and leaders of 14 armed groups in February 2019 seemed to be making headway, but like so many of its predecessors, soon gave way to growing instability. Conflict in CAR is complex and protracted, and finding effective solutions is hard. But peace strategies have too often ignored local drivers of violence and capacities for peace. The logic for ‘boosting bottom-up peace’ is clear. Resourcing it properly is the next step.

     

    Prioritise partnership: Partnership is key to effective peacemaking and peacebuilding. Conflict is too complex and systemic for any one country or institution to tackle single-handedly. But while many people espouse partnership, it is very hard to achieve in practice. Even like-minded international peace NGOs struggle to work together towards shared goals, while maintaining each other’s unique approaches, histories and networks.[17]

     

    But the paramount and perhaps toughest challenge for the UK Government and civil society is to work authentically in local partnership. This requires us all to embrace a very different way of thinking and working, which complements and supports local peace constituencies, nurtures long-term relationships, steps up engagement with diverse women and youth networks, and enables ‘context-sensitivity’ and adaptation. In practice, meaningful local partnership means reducing ‘projectisation’ of peace efforts, finding ways to take calculated risks, and having difficult conversations with people actively involved in violence. Local partnership requires us to ‘decolonise’ our relationships and a root and branch transformation of power – from strategy and programme design, to who is in the room, who is listened to and who gets the funding, and to helping to protect civic space and human rights. Local partnership is hard. But without it we are stuck in self-sustaining cycles of superficial change.

     

    Conclusion: is the UK ready to ‘pivot to peace’?

    Is the UK ready for such a ‘pivot to peace’? Our research in 2017 suggested that we may be more ready than many people think, and that there is broad public support for peacebuilding if you get the communications right. National surveys of public attitudes towards peacebuilding and dialogue with armed groups to further peace processes show a striking level of public support in the UK as well as in other countries.[18] This suggests that the Government can be more confident in redirecting resources to peacebuilding, including potentially for more controversial activities such as talking to armed groups, and in communicating that to the public.[19]

     

    Pivoting to peace is not about pretending that we have all of the answers. TV and radio news, and social media are full of real time footage of active conflicts that we are struggling to tackle. But we are learning all the time about how to make and build peace – through political settlements, community security, mediation and dialogue, conflict analysis, and managing natural resources, to name but a few approaches. For the UK to take a jump forward as a ‘force for peace’, we need to take some radical decisions about how and how much we are prepared to invest in it. The interests and capabilities of people affected by conflict and working for peace must lie at the heart of all of our policies and practice.

     

    Dr Teresa Dumasy is Director of the Research, Advisory and Policy Department at Conciliation Resources (www.c-r.org). Teresa joined the organisation in 2010. As Director of Research, Advisory and Policy she is a member of the executive management team and oversees Conciliation Resources work on research, gender, policy and monitoring, evaluation and learning and EU facing work. Teresa also plays a coordinating role for NGOs on counter-terrorism laws and sanctions and their impact on humanitarian and peacebuilding work. Prior to joining Conciliation Resources Teresa worked for the UK Government in FCO and DFID. She is a Senior Research Fellow at the Conflict Analysis and Research Centre at the University of Kent.

     

    Dr Alexander (Zand) Ramsbotham is Director of Research and Innovation at Conciliation Resources. Zand joined Conciliation Resources in 2009 as Head of Accord and now leads the organisation’s research, learning and innovation agenda. Prior to joining Conciliation Resources, he was research fellow at the Institute for Public Policy Research, and has worked as specialist adviser to the House of Lords European Union Select Committee in its inquiry into the EU Strategy for Africa, and as head of the Peace and Security Programme at the United Nations Association-UK. He has also been an associate fellow in the International Security Programme at Chatham House.

     

    Image by Rich Taylor/DFID under (CC).

     

    [1] Peacebuilding involves understanding and addressing the underlying drivers of conflict, not its symptoms; it involves everyone from communities to governments; and it is a long-term process of rebuilding relationships, changing attitudes and establishing fairer institutions.

    [2] HM Government, Global Britain in a Competitive Age, The Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy, March 2021, https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/975077/Global_Britain_in_a_Competitive_Age-_the_Integrated_Review_of_Security__Defence__Development_and_Foreign_Policy.pdf

    [3] DFID, FCO and Ministry of Defence, Building Stability Overseas Strategy, 2011, https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/67475/Building-stability-overseas-strategy.pdf

    [4] Marcus Lenzen, Building Stability Framework, Department for International Development, 2016, https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5968990ded915d0baf00019e/UK-Aid-Connect-Stability-Framework.pdf

    [5] FCO, DFID, FCDO, Ministry of Defence and Stabilisation Unit, UK national action plan on women, peace and security 2018 to 2022, Gov.uk, January 2018, https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/uk-national-action-plan-on-women-peace-and-security-2018-to-2022

    [6] Stabilisation Unit, Supporting Elite Bargains to Reduce Violent Conflict, Gov.uk, 2018, https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/765973/Supporting_Elite_Bargains_to_Reduce_Violent_Conflict_-_Summary.pdf

    [7] World Bank Group, Pathways for Peace: Inclusive Approaches to Preventing Violent Conflict, 2018, https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/28337 

    [8] Pauline Veron and Aandrew Sheriff, International funding for peacebuilding: Will COVID-19 change or reinforce existing trends?, ECPDM Discussion paper No. 280, September 2020, https://ecdpm.org/wp-content/uploads/ECDPM-Discussion-Paper-280-International-Funding-Peacebuilding-COVID-19-Change-Reinforce-Existing-Trends.pdf

    [9] Lewis Brooks and Abigail Watson, The UK Integrated Review: the gap between the Review and reality on conflict prevention, Saferworld, March 2021, https://www.saferworld.org.uk/resources/news-and-analysis/post/952-the-uk-integrated-review-the-gap-between-the-review-and-reality-on-conflict-prevention

    [10] Ibid.; Lewis Brooks, Playing with Matches? UK security assistance and its conflict risks, Saferworld, October 2021, https://www.saferworld.org.uk/resources/publications/1374-playing-with-matches-uk-security-assistance-and-its-conflict-risks

    [11] See for example, Conciliation Resources, Proscribing Peace, the impact of terrorist listing on peacebuilding organisations, January 2016, https://www.c-r.org/resource/proscribing-peace

    [12] Christine Bell, Navigating inclusion in peace settlements, British Academy, June 2017, www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/publications/justice-equality-inclusion-peace-settlements-human-rights-common-good/

    [13] World Bank Group, Pathways for Peace: Inclusive Approaches to Preventing Violent Conflict, 2018, https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/28337 

    [14] United Nations, UN Support to Local Mediation: Challenges and Opportunities, Mediation Support Unit, Policy & Mediation Division, November 2020, https://peacemaker.un.org/sites/peacemaker.un.org/files/UN%20Support%20to%20Local%20Mediation_Challenges%20and%20Opportunities_1.pdf

    [15] Conciliation Resources, Smart peace: peacebuilding through learning, 2021, www.c-r.org/smart-peace-interactive-learning-resource

    [16] Conciliation Resources, Creating safe spaces for youth to build peace, August 2018, www.c-r.org/news-and-insight/creating-safe-spaces-youth-build-peace

    [17] Conciliation Resources, Smart peace: peacebuilding through learning, 2021, www.c-r.org/smart-peace-interactive-learning-resource

    [18] Conciliation Resources, Public support for peacebuilding, September 2017, www.c-r.org/resource/public-support-peacebuilding; Conciliation Resources, Public attitudes in Japan towards peacebuilding and dialogue with armed groups, October 2020, https://www.c-r.org/learning-hub/public-attitudes-japan-towards-peacebuilding-and-dialogue-armed-groups

    [19] Conciliation Resources, Public support for peacebuilding, September 2017, https://www.c-r.org/resource/public-support-peacebuilding

    Footnotes
      Related Articles

      Multilateral partnerships: The UK and the UN as partners in peacekeeping and peacemaking

      Article by Fred Carver

      Multilateral partnerships: The UK and the UN as partners in peacekeeping and peacemaking

      The challenges

      The role of multilateral institutions, pre-eminently the United Nations (UN), in fragile states is multifaceted. They invariably maintain primary responsibility for the delivery of humanitarian aid – the more fragile a situation the more irreplaceable their role. Insofar as development programming continues to occur the UN will often play a lead or convening role in it. Their staff and, where present, observers will be expected to bear witness and report upon violations of human rights and international humanitarian law. Particularly where there is a political mission or Special Envoy in place they will take a degree of responsibility for sustaining peace and maintaining stability: mediating and using their good offices function to convene and facilitate peace talks, and attempting to ensure external interventions are supportive of an agreed upon political process. And where peacekeepers are present they will have a more direct responsibility for maintaining peace, including on occasions by using force in the protection of civilians or in furtherance of a mandate to support a peace process.

       

      These differing objectives frequently come into tension. Notably, the UN has often struggled to balance the need to maintain friendly relations, and therefore access, with host governments to deliver humanitarian and development programmes, and the need to bear witness to human rights violations and apply pressure as part of a political theory of change. Following the catastrophic failure of the UN to strike this balance correctly in the final stages of the Sri Lankan civil war in 2009, the UN commissioned the ‘Petrie Report’ which in turn led to the ‘Human Rights up Front’ mechanism to rebalance the political and development aspects of its work.[1] It was therefore galling for the UN, not to mention tragic, when the atrocities in Myanmar’s Rakhine state in 2017 betrayed many of the same failings in the UN response, on occasion even involving the same personnel.[2]

       

      The reasons were straightforward enough. Despite the implementation of Human Rights up Front there had not been a substantial shift in the management of UN in-country interventions to ensure the primacy of political responses. In response to the second scandal of Myanmar, Secretary-General Guterres was able to push through structural reforms to support the primacy of a political strategy set by the UN Secretariat over delivery of development and humanitarian services, and while these reforms were watered down by states and implementation of Human Rights up Front remains incomplete and contested there is now a greater sense of political coherence in the UN’s interventions in fragile states.[3]

       

      Unfortunately, this is far from the only point of tension when it comes to multilateral initiatives in areas of fragility. Another is the somewhat artificial divide that exists between the UN’s special political missions, run out of the UN’s Department of Political and Peacebuilding Affairs, and the UN’s peacekeeping missions, run out of the UN’s Department of Peace Operations.[4] Despite the recommendation of the UN’s Independent High-level Panel on Peace Operations (the wonderfully named HIPPO report) that the UN de-silo its thinking in this area and instead consider all its interventions as existing on a continuum of peace support operations, and despite a compromise restructuring which saw a part merger of some aspects of both offices, the two entities still operate fairly distinctly with limited cooperation or skill sharing.[5]

       

      This is not just a case of a structural disconnect. The UN’s political missions operate in the fairly conventional and state centric manner of a UN mediator: attempting to increase stability and with an inherent bias towards state actors, which will always be seen as more legitimate by a state led institution such as the UN. UN peacekeeping, likewise accountable to a mandate established by member states in the UN Security Council, broadly operates in the same way. But there is a twist. In recent decades an expectation has been established that the preeminent role of UN Peacekeeping will be the protection of civilians.[6] The threat to the civilians, however, often predominantly comes from state actors, with non-state actors being as likely to be playing a protective role as themselves constituting a threat.[7] There are even circumstances in which the objectives of increasing stability and protecting civilians are antagonistic – greater stability means fewer checks on the power of the state actor to harm civilians.[8]

       

      A tangential, but closely related, point of contention comes when one considers the UN’s role in counter terror operations. In the aftermath of the ‘war on terror’ the UN’s counter-terror work has become increasingly extensive and coherent, now organised under the leadership of the United Nations Office of Counter-Terrorism (UNOCT) and reaching to an extent where some researchers have deemed it the ‘fourth pillar’ of the UN’s work (the traditional three pillars being peace and security, human rights and development).[9] But counter-terror work is not a natural fit for the UN. For one thing the UN emphasises neutrality in its approach to conflicts, particularly in its peacekeeping work, and its peace and security work primarily operates by mediating between partners it attempts to view as equals. Counter-terror operations are not neutral, nor do they treat parties equally: they label certain non-state actors as the adversary. Furthermore, counter-terror operations frequently take the form of, or closely approximate, warfighting, an activity which is both antithetical to the objectives of the UN Charter and one that the UN is congenitally ill suited to perform. To quote the British born architect of UN Peacekeeping Sir Brian Urquhart, “the moment a peacekeeping force starts killing people it becomes a part of the conflict it is supposed to be controlling, and therefore, part of the problem. It loses the one quality which distinguishes it from, and sets it above, the people it is dealing with.”[10]

       

      Peace in partnership

      It is against this background of issues that discussions about multilateral partnerships for peacekeeping and peacebuilding have to be understood. The UN’s initiatives in this agenda rarely happen in a vacuum, particularly in Africa where the African Union (AU) and powerful and effective regional economic communities (such as ECOWAS, SADC etc…) play a vital role. In a situation of fragility such as Mali, such interventions will also take place alongside multiple others, such as two EU missions (EUTM Mali, EUCAP Sahel Mali), unilateral missions (such as the French led Operation Barkhane), and ad hoc regional missions (such as the ‘G5’ mission from Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania, and Niger). When one therefore considers a question such as ‘to what extent is the UN peacekeeping operation in Mali conducting conventional peacekeeping and to what extent is it performing counterinsurgency?’, one has to not only consider the conduct of the mission itself (which I would argue mostly does still constitute conventional peacekeeping), but also the fact that in providing stability it creates an enabling environment for these other actors who are most certainly conducting counterinsurgency.

       

      Therefore, while there is broad agreement that peacekeeping and peacebuilding are best when regionally led, and there is a consensus among most that they would like to see the AU and other regional actors take on more of the work with the UN playing a funding and support role, this has led to often insurmountable issues in practice. For example, states have so far resisted calls from the Secretary-General, primarily at the behest of lead donor France, to directly fund the G5. And quite right too, as scholars have argued, if they did they would be using UN funds to directly support the fighting of wars – in contravention of the UN Charter.[11] But how then to follow through on the longstanding demand from many African states for the UN to provide direct funding to African Union peacekeeping missions? The AU defines peacekeeping differently to the UN, and many of its ‘peacekeeping’ activities could be considered warfighting.[12] Is it possible to fund some actions of a peacekeeping mission but not others that cross the line? This has been the logic behind various UN support offices (such as UNSOS in Somalia) which seek to channel funding and support in kind to AU missions while maintaining a degree of separation between the UN and peace enforcement operations. The results are often complex and convoluted.[13]

       

      What is to be done? And what role for the UK?

      None of these tensions have easy resolutions. Furthermore, even if some extraordinary technical silver bullet did exist in the mind of some policymaker that could perfectly thread these several needles, it would do us no good. The UN’s peacekeeping and peacemaking work has evolved in ad hoc fashion as a result of protracted negotiations between states and other actors. So too, even more so, has multilateral peace support work outside the UN system. The discipline will inevitably continue to evolve in similar fashion: slowly, gradually and unevenly.

       

      Nor should this be seen as an entirely negative thing. Immensely frustrating as multilateral peacebuilding is, it does – for a given value of the term – work. UN Peacekeeping in particular can boast a commendable track record of harm mitigated the presence of peacekeepers is credited with preventing genocide in the Central African Republic in 2014 and empirical studies show that “on average, deploying several thousand troops and several hundred police dramatically reduces civilian killings”.[14] While it is harder to demonstrate the value of the UN’s wider peace and security work (it being notoriously hard to prove the negative of a conflict not happening) one must always bear in mind that for three quarters of a century the UN has achieved its primary objective: preventing World War III.[15] And these successes cannot be disaggregated from the contestation and tension at the heart of multilateral approaches. Maddening as the lack of clarity, coherence, and singularity of purpose can be, these are the inevitable consequences of precisely what gives the approach its strength: the fact that one has established a mechanism for otherwise potentially hostile actors to resolve hard power differences through processes of negotiation leading to compromises. Frustrating as the messiness and incoherence of multilateral conflict management may be, it is nothing compared to the messiness and incoherence of conflict.

       

      One potential reform that I believe is worth pursuing is to attempt to discourage and minimise micromanagement of peacekeeping and peacebuilding activities by state led mechanisms. Practitioners operating in a complex and fragile environment need clarity, but if the states that they are answerable to are not able to provide that clarity then flexibility and room to manoeuvre is the next best thing. Locally set policy can also better reflect local conditions, and match them in more granular detail, whereas blanket universal policies are bound to either be too robust for certain circumstances, not robust enough for others, or both.

       

      A classic example of this dynamic came in a recent controversy regarding the use of lethal force by British UN peacekeepers in Mali.[16] While one can argue as to what the correct posture for the mission is, and while of course rules of engagement are a matter of legal and operational necessity, I would strongly suggest that any judgement made in New York is invariably going to be a poorer match for local conditions and circumstances than that of those participating in the incident. We have seen in the past the negative consequences of too rigid a mandate in peacekeeping and the value of mission command flexibility.[17] Of course, with such flexibility comes the opportunity for abuse, unless it is tempered by transparency and accountability. Peacekeepers must always fully account for their actions and must be accountable to, and able to be held to account by, those they keep the peace for. In this regards the UK’s candid communications with respect the incident have been commendable but greater work to place the populations of fragile areas at the centre of UN peace operations, as proposed by the Effectiveness of Peace Operations Network (EPON), is vital.[18]

       

      More broadly, what role can the UK play? Their role in shaping peacekeeping, and indeed in all negotiations, will of course be limited by the limitations on UK influence, but this remains a sector where the UK has a louder voice than many.[19] Its policy positions with respect to many of the controversies I have outlined above are reasonably thoughtful and nuanced. Certainly they are the least extreme among the five permanent members of the UN Security Council where France and the USA join with Russia and China when it comes to enthusiasm for counter terror operations.

       

      It’s also a sector in which the volume of your voice is proportionate to the size of your contribution. The UK has long contributed significantly to peacekeeping both financially and with small but influential members of senior staff in leadership roles. However, increasing resentment among traditional troop contributing countries at the division that exists between those that lead and those that bleed has meant that increasingly this is not enough, and a country such as the UK is expected to put non negligible numbers of troops at potential risk to earn its right to speak with authority.[20] The UK has done this commendably, doubling its traditional contribution of a mini battalion in Cyprus and senior leadership personnel with a series of commitments of a couple of hundred troops: first of a field hospital and then an engineering unit to the UN mission in South Sudan, and now of a long range reconnaissance force to the UN mission in Mali. The UK now contributes a similar number of troops to France, only a few less than China, and considerably more than the paltry contributions of Russia and the USA.

       

      The military in particular have found that such deployments also offer significant additional benefits: unmatched on the job training and career enrichment opportunities; the strengthening of both traditional and new partnerships and the ability to practice work in coalition; enhanced situational awareness in strategic locations; the ability to match influence with rivals both in the areas of deployment and relevant international forums; and the opportunity to get a close look at some other nations’ kit.

       

      An exemplary deployment in Mali: where next?

      The UK’s deployment to Mali has been widely praised, and rightly so. It provides a requirement the UN needs: enabling the mission to project influence many hundreds of miles from the immediate vicinity of the fortified bases where they had in the past on occasion felt somewhat besieged, and allowing civilian experts to spend significant time out and about among the Malian population. While one can reasonably raise concerns about the purpose and value of the mission as a whole – the reliability of the Malian Government as a host and partner, particularly post-coup; the manner in which the mission works alongside French and G5 counterinsurgency operations; and the appropriateness of a UN mission operating in a counter-terror environment – the work of the long range reconnaissance patrols seems to embody a clear theory of change: dissuading attacks on civilians with a show of force; enabling the investigation of human rights violations by providing security for investigators; and enforcing peace agreements through weapons inspections. A clear and candid communication strategy has made this readily apparent.[21]

       

      The UK will need to maintain a contribution at this level if it is to continue to have the influence it does over UN peacekeeping and wider peacebuilding policy conversations. Given the warm reception and effectiveness of the Mali deployment, currently expected to last until 2023, the UK should be in no rush to look elsewhere. But all commitments must come to an end eventually, and it is right that thought be given to what comes next, or indeed if additional contributions could be made, particularly in light of the Prime Minister’s as yet unfulfilled promise to the House of Commons that the increase in the UK’s defence budget would enable it to “do more on peacekeeping.”[22]

       

      The Integrated Review, the UK’s generational strategy paper on national security and international policy objectives, commits the UK to an “increased commitment to the successor mission to the African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM)”.[23] There’s a number of reasons to doubt whether such a commitment could achieve the same policy objectives as the UK’s deployment to Mali, and thus act as an effective replacement for it. For one thing the scope and nature of the successor mission to AMISOM has not yet been decided, and the process of negotiating that successor has been fraught with difficulty.[24] For another the situation in Somalia is highly complex and prone to risk, perhaps second only to Mali for the complexity of the interrelation between the various external actors, and likely even more deadly. Any UK intervention would have to be very carefully planned to ensure that it is indeed helpful. Finally, it is likely that – as now – any successor mission would place the AU in the lead role with the UN providing logistical, financial and in kind support through a support office.

       

      The UK has already contributed significant numbers of staff to the UN support office in Somalia.[25] It is difficult to see how, in such circumstances, the UK’s as yet undefined contribution could take a form which would see a Mali sized number of additional blue helmeted troops being exposed to a similar level of risk as in Mali so as to give the UK a similar degree of credibility in UN conversations.

       

      The UK might be well served to disaggregate its commitment to supporting the successor to AMISOM and the strategic value of an ongoing higher level of commitment to UN Peacekeeping: providing AMISOM’s successor with the support, most likely political and financial, that it needs, but separately engaging with the UN’s Department of Peace Operations on plans to ensure the maintenance of at least one Mali-sized contribution to its ongoing multidimensional peacekeeping missions.

       

      Recommendations:

      1. That the UK take a ‘needs led’ approach to supporting the successor to AMISOM in Somalia, providing that mission with resources and capabilities it needs, and not contribute for the sake of contributing;

       

      1. That independently from developing a contribution to the successor to AMISOM the UK commit to either renewing its contribution to the UN mission in Mali or offer a contribution, which similarly involves providing several hundred blue helmeted troops equitably sharing risk with other troop contributing countries so as to provide for similar policy benefits; and

       

      1. That the UK use its position on the UN Security Council and involvement with the policy conversations, including the upcoming Seoul defence ministerial to push for:
        • Greater accountability to, and centring of, the communities at the heart of peacekeeping missions, as recommended by the EPON network;
        • To resist any urge for state based mechanisms to micromanage peace operations;
        • To resist state centricity in multilateral responses to areas of fragility and embrace the fact that states can often themselves be part of the problem and non-state actors part of the solution; and
        • To counter any attempt to have UN resources or UN supported missions diverted into counter-terror operations, counterinsurgency, or other forms of warfighting.

       

      Fred Carver is a freelance researcher working in the field of international relations, with specific expertise on the United Nations, Peacekeeping, Atrocity Prevention, civil wars and political violence. From 2011-2016 he ran the Sri Lanka Campaign for Peace and Justice, a human rights NGO, and from 2016-2020 he was head of policy at UNA-UK, a campaigning organisation for multilateralism. Prior to that he worked as a researcher specialising in South Asia (primarily Pakistan) and in UK politics.

       

      Image by Sgt Russ Nolan RLC under (OGL).

       

      [1] Charles Petrie, Report of the Secretary-General’s Internal Review Panel on United Nations Action in Sri Lanka, United Nations Digital Library, 2012, https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/737299?ln=en

      [2] Colum Lynch, For Years, U.N. Was Warned of Threat to Rohingya in Myanmar, Foreign Policy, October 2017, https://foreignpolicy.com/2017/10/16/for-years-u-n-was-warned-of-threat-to-rohingya-in-myanmar/

      [3] IISD / SDG Knowledge Hub, “New Year, New United Nations”: Structural Reforms Begin, January 2019, http://sdg.iisd.org/commentary/policy-briefs/new-year-new-united-nations-structural-reforms-begin/; Kenneth Roth, Why the UN Chief’s Silence on Human Rights is Deeply Troubling, Human Rights Watch, April 2019, https://www.hrw.org/news/2019/04/25/why-un-chiefs-silence-human-rights-deeply-troubling

      [4] United Nations Security Council, Special Political Missions, https://www.un.org/securitycouncil/content/repertoire/political-missions-and-offices; United Nations Peacekeeping, Where we operate, https://peacekeeping.un.org/en/where-we-operate

      [5] United Nations Peacekeeping, Report of the Independent High-Level Panel on Peace Operations, June 2015, https://peacekeeping.un.org/en/report-of-independent-high-level-panel-peace-operations; IISD / SDG Knowledge Hub, UN Secretary-General Details New Elements of Peace and Security Architecture, November 2018, https://sdg.iisd.org/news/un-secretary-general-details-new-elements-of-peace-and-security-architecture/

      [6] Adam Day and Charles T. Hunt, Distractions, Distortions and Dilemmas: The Externalities of Protecting Civilians in United Nations Peacekeeping, November 2021, Taylor Francis Online, https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13698249.2022.1995680

      [7] Center for Civilians in Conflict, From Mandate to Mission: Mitigating Civilian Harm in UN Peacekeeping Operations in the DRC, January 2017, https://civiliansinconflict.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/DRC_REPORT_Web_2016_12_30-Small.pdf; Severine Autesserre, The Crisis of Peacekeeping: Why the UN Can’t End Wars, Foreign Affairs, January/February 2019, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2018-12-11/crisis-peacekeeping?cid=otr-authors-january_february_2019-121118

      [8] Protection Approaches, Being the difference, November 2021, https://protectionapproaches.org/being-the-difference

      [9] Ali Altiok and Jordan Street, A fourth pillar for the United Nations? The rise of counter-terrorism, Saferworld, June 2020, https://www.saferworld.org.uk/resources/publications/1256-a-fourth-pillar-for-the-united-nations-the-rise-of-counter-terrorism

      [10] Urquhart, Brian E. 1987. A Life in Peace and War. London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson.

      [11] Paul D. Williams, Why a UN Support Office for the G5 Sahel Joint Force is a Bad Idea, reliefweb, June 2021, https://reliefweb.int/report/burkina-faso/why-un-support-office-g5-sahel-joint-force-bad-idea

      [12] Paul D. Williams, Lessons Learned in Somalia: AMISOM and Contemporary Peace Enforcement, Council on Foreign Relations, July 2018, https://www.cfr.org/blog/lessons-learned-somalia-amisom-and-contemporary-peace-enforcement

      [13] Paul D. Williams, Lessons “Partnership Peacekeeping” from the African Union Mission in Somalia, International Peace Institute, October 2019, https://www.ipinst.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/1910_Lessons-from-AMISOM.pdf

      [14] Diane Corner, “Without the UN, there would have been genocide”, UNA-UK, December 2017, https://una.org.uk/magazine/2017-2/without-un-there-would-have-been-genocide; Kelcey Negus, Mounting Evidence: Empirical Studies Show UN Peacekeeping Mission Presence May Reduce Violence Against Civilians, Center for Civilians in Conflict, December 2019, https://civiliansinconflict.org/blog/pk-presence-may-reduce-violence-against-civilians/

      [15] Hultman, L., Kathman, J., and Shannon, M. 2019. Peacekeeping in the Midst of War. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

      [16] Louise Jones, Mali: An Alternative View, Wavell Room, October 2021, https://wavellroom.com/2021/10/26/mali-an-alternative-view/

      [17] Tony Ingesson, Trigger-Happy Autonomous, and Disobedient: Nordbat 2 Mission Command in Bosnia, The Strategy Bridge, September 2017, https://thestrategybridge.org/the-bridge/2017/9/20/trigger-happy-autonomous-and-disobedient-nordbat-2-and-mission-command-in-bosnia

      [18] Cedric de Coning and Linnea Gelot, Placing People at the Center of UN Peace Operations, IPI Global Observatory, May 2020, https://theglobalobservatory.org/2020/05/placing-people-center-un-peace-operations/

      [19] UNA-UK, Global Britain in the United Nations, https://una.org.uk/global-britain-united-nations

      [20] Natalie Samarasinghe and Thomas G. Weiss, How “the rest” shape the UN, UNA-UK, October 2018, https://una.org.uk/magazine/2018-1/how-%E2%80%9C-rest%E2%80%9D-shape-un

      [21] These were mostly available by following the contingent commander at the time @WillJMeddings on twitter. Now troop rotation has seen the Royal Anglians replaced by the Welsh Cavalry it remains to be seen which channels they will use, but following @TheWelshCavalry on twitter is likely to provide a starting point.

      [22] UK Parliament, Integrated Review, Vollume 684: debated on Thursday 19 November 2020, https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2020-11-19/debates/CA347B2B-EE02-40DF-B5CE-1E8FAA07139E/IntegratedReview#contribution-C41740DD-E9B0-410B-8597-98A1DD6E2E10

      [23] Cabinet Office, Global Britain in a Competitive Age: the Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy, Gov.uk, March 2021, https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/global-britain-in-a-competitive-age-the-integrated-review-of-security-defence-development-and-foreign-policy

      [24] International Crisis Group, Reforming the AU Mission in Somalia, November 2021, https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-africa/somalia/b176-reforming-au-mission-somalia

      [25] Ministry of Defence and The Rt Hon Sir Michael Fallon, UK troops support UN mission in Somalia, Gov.uk, May 2016, https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-troops-support-un-mission-in-somalia

      Footnotes
        Related Articles

        The changing context for UK humanitarian and development activities in FCACs

        Article by Tim Molesworth and Phil Vernon

        The changing context for UK humanitarian and development activities in FCACs

        The changing international landscape for humanitarian and development assistance in FCACs

        The UK’s overseas aid in coming years will be conditioned by the UK’s national interest as understood through a political lens, and by other domestic political and institutional factors. The nature of UK aid will also necessarily be influenced by international trends beyond those prevailing in each individual country to which aid is delivered. Among those, we highlight the following for discussion:

        • A trend of increased armed violence and instability;
        • Geopolitical flux and uncertainty;
        • A number of influential transnational factors; and
        • Incoherent approaches to the delivery of aid in fragile and conflict affected countries (FCACs).

         

        An increase in intrastate violent conflicts, linked to regional factors and violent extremism

        Armed conflicts are on the rise, following a period of improvement after the end of the Cold War. The 2021 Global Peace Index noted there had been a reduction in peacefulness in nine of the past 13 years.[1] During this period, armed conflicts have in the main been sub-national or internal in their manifestation, that is, the actual fighting has been contained within national borders. But they are often interconnected. For example, the conflicts in Syria, Yemen and Libya have been fought mainly within the borders of those countries but with the active involvement of outsiders. Meanwhile, many internal conflicts also spread destabilisation and violence beyond national borders, within the immediate region and even farther field. These international connections make military or political resolution harder. Thus conflicts remain unresolved locally, and they persist and further expand. External actors frequently pursue their own wider conflicts in local theatres. These include not only states or groups of states, but also non-state entities such as violent extremist groups, who have responded to their relative weakness in asymmetric conflict by pouring fuel on local conflict dynamics in multiple localities, upping the stakes and entrenching extremist violence more widely.

         

        The humanitarian consequences of conflicts are severe, leading to vast, prolonged or repeated humanitarian aid programmes. These provide succour for those in need, but they can also prolong the conflict. This is because they protect the warring parties from some of the consequences of their actions, allowing them further leeway to continue prosecuting war. Meanwhile such aid is – or can certainly be painted as – intrinsically political; an indication that donors support one or other parties in the conflict.

         

        Longer-term development aid to fragile countries is even more clearly politically charged, as it inevitably interacts with government choices and policies there, and with politics itself, in places where – by definition, if they are ‘fragile and conflict affected’ – political systems are frequently inadequate to permit sufficient dialogue and peaceful political disagreement and opposition. For example, the provision of large sums of development aid by the UK in Nigeria, despite the Government’s human rights record in areas affected by Islamic extremism, is seen by potential recruits to the extremist cause as evidence that ‘the West’ is not on their side.[2] Therefore one of the challenges for aid agencies remains the delivery of ‘conflict sensitive’ aid, i.e. aid is designed and delivered in ways that avoid exacerbating conflicts, and preferably aim to reduce them.

         

        A background of geopolitical uncertainty

        If most violent conflicts are internal, interstate conflicts have not disappeared. In addition to being prosecuted through proxies in internal conflicts, some interstate conflicts continue to be fought directly, albeit in a context where major powers along with the UN or regional multilateral bodies have been relatively successful in keeping them frozen or at a comparatively low level of military action. Long-running conflicts such as those between Pakistan and India or South and North Korea remain unresolved but mainly at a very low level of action, though some flare up from time to time, as happened in 2020 between Azerbaijan and Armenia, before Russia re-imposed a ceasefire.

         

        Larger geopolitical conflicts with the potential to develop into direct confrontations also loom increasingly large, especially as the period of US-dominated unipolar geopolitics is ending. US power – or at least its willingness to act decisively – is slowly waning, while China grows in confidence and capacity, and Russia continues to act as though it too has a claim to superpower status. The EU meanwhile is unable to create a mechanism through which its security or diplomatic capacity matches the economic weight it still retains. Regional geopolitics in the Middle East remain influential, notably linked to Israel’s security posture and its treatment of Palestinians, and the enduring enmity between Saudi Arabia and Iran, along with their respective allies.

         

        These complex, fragmented and overlapping conflicts and relationships form part of the background to an aid landscape which is also fragmented, at least compared with the Cold War and immediately post-Cold War periods. Much of the aid programmed by the UN and the main International Finance Institutions (IFIs) remains strongly aligned with that given by western states. All this can therefore still largely be considered under the broad heading of ‘western’ aid in support, broadly speaking, of the more or less liberal SDG agenda – even though western governments also allocate their aid in alignment with specific national interests, and for some, it is linked – explicitly or not – to other forms of support such as military assistance: UK and US military assistance in Somalia being one example of this.

         

        Other players such as the Gulf States, Russia and China use their aid more nakedly in support of access to economic and other strategic resources and opportunities. China’s Belt and Road Initiative illustrates this well.[3] Aid fragmentation is on very clear display in the Horn of Africa, where external powers combining aid with their economic or military goals include the US, the EU, the UK, China, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and the UAE in a web of influence that can be quite hard to unravel.[4] China in particular is seen as loading unsustainable debt levels onto many countries, including fragile countries, as part of its aid for infrastructure programme, much of which is in the form of loans.[5] To an extent, different approaches to aid reflect the political systems of the different donors, with western democracies more focused on conditionality linked to good governance, and programmes that aim to improve citizen – responsive governance, while their geopolitical competitors are less concerned about such factors. Aid is therefore an integral part of the narrative about global competition between democratic and autocratic political ideologies which is highlighted in the UK Government’s Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign.[6]

         

        The challenge for UK aid is therefore to continue to support a liberal concept of ‘progress’, as a way to link its humanitarian and development aid to the foreign policy goals of shaping an evolving geopolitical landscape which maximises cooperation and conflict resolution, but without allowing aid to become simply a tool in a new Cold War.

         

        Transnational factors

        A third set of salient factors can be grouped under the heading ‘transnational’, as the Integrated Review does. One of these is international crime, whose networks take advantage of (and in so doing frequently worsen) inadequate governance in fragile countries to operate there, notably for the production and transit of illegal drugs and other goods – as for example the use of the vast and hard to police Sahel for trafficking drugs to Europe.

         

        This phenomenon overlaps with another: the large numbers of migrants from poor and fragile countries seeking safety and opportunity in the developed West, often a great personal risk. Migrants often fall into the hands of organised criminal traffickers. Libya is a well-known location for this, where armed political groups operate as criminal enterprises, trafficking migrants seeking entry to Europe.

         

        Organised crime also overlaps with international terrorism. Terror and organised crime groups make common cause in overcoming and corrupting local and national governments; in many cases, Islamist terrorist organisations are themselves involved in trafficking and smuggling, either directly or by effectively licensing and taxing traffickers.

         

        A fourth factor is the phenomenon of, and the need to manage, transnational health risks. This is seen currently and most obviously in the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to further undermine governance and stability in fragile and conflict affected countries as government services fail to support affected communities and potentially increase levels of alienation and armed opposition.[7] But the destabilisation caused by an outbreak of Ebola in fragile and conflict affected countries in West Africa in 2014-16, including long term long term aid partner Sierra Leone, is also well attested.[8]

         

        Finally, it is increasingly clear that fragile countries are particularly vulnerable to further destabilisation due to the impacts of climate change, for example as competition for land and other economic opportunities ramps up in the face of inadequate governance. This is especially true of fragile countries in the tropics, where some of the direct and indirect environmental impacts of warming are expected to be most marked.[9]

         

        Among the implications of these transnational factors: the need for the UK to work closely with others and especially with multilateral organisations and processes, ensuring that responses to these phenomena are conflict sensitive, and are used to promote stability and longer term, positive peace, as well as respond to the specific issue in question.

         

        Incoherent approaches to the delivery of aid in FCACs

        Given this background, aid resources are increasingly concentrated in fragile countries, and that is expected to remain the case.[10] Yet it is by no means clear that current approaches to aid delivery there are coherent, conflict sensitive or as effective as they could be. Partly, this is because of the instrumentalisation of aid for geopolitical competition, which skews design and other decisions. It is also partly due to ineffective programming and poor collaboration, even among experienced international agencies. These are typically siloed, failing to work in a joined up way, as each responds to its own mandate and perceived organisational interests differently. Because implementing agencies compete with one another for funds and opportunities, this further obstructs collaboration and coherence.

         

        But this is not just a matter of poor operational collaboration. There is a tension at the highest level between two opposing forces. On one hand, it is increasingly acknowledged at high levels – at least in western and UN agencies – that aid agencies should support long term, enduring stabilisation and peacebuilding, in line with the UN’s fundamental raison d’être. This is the thrust of the UN’s Sustaining Peace agenda, to which the UN Security Council, General Assembly and UN affiliated agencies (including development banks) are all in principle signed up. This argues for long-term, sustained support for the development of peaceful societies and states. It acknowledges, on paper at least, that this is a complex, multi-generational endeavour requiring appropriate tools.[11] Yet such tools have not yet been developed, at least not on a commensurate scale. Instead, the existing institutions of aid – its organisations, systems and norms, designed for a different purpose – have been largely left intact, while in principle accepting a significantly amended mandate and role to which they are ill-adapted. This is equally true of donors such as the UK, and delivery organisations.

         

        Meanwhile, and on the other hand, major western donors are largely retreating towards an approach that favours short-term stability, even when this is patently at odds with Sustaining Peace, and with some of the acknowledged features of the peaceful societies they claim they wish to build, such as individual freedoms and a dynamic civil society. In some respects, this is a resurgence of realpolitik perspectives in foreign policy where, in the present context, western donor governments actively support fragile country governments such as that of President El Sisi in Egypt, which trample on freedoms and are not obviously making progress towards long-term peace. This support is justified by western governments so long as the countries concerned are aligned with western interests in respect of issues such as migration or violent extremism, or in the interests of regional stability rather than political uncertainty to which political freedoms might give rise.

         

        Partly, this tendency towards realpolitik also represents a frustration at the failure of high profile ‘nation building’ projects in Iraq, Libya and Afghanistan, and the failure of the Arab Spring and similar movements to replace those in power as well as systems of power. Partly, it reflects the genuine difficulty donors have in supporting long-term goals through open ended and unpredictable programming. This is especially the case for democratic donors who have to demonstrate impact for which they are held accountable by parliaments and journalists with limited patience or understanding. Partly too, it reflects the assessment that dealing with some of the complexities analysed above – migration, climate change, epidemics and violent extremism – is simply easier in a context of short term stability, than in the face of the complex and unpredictable dynamics that tend to accompany democratisation and liberalisation. Geopolitical competition creates additional incentives to adopt a realpolitik, rather than be led by the goals of peacebuilding, because western and multilateral aid is so easily outcompeted by less demanding aid from other ‘non-traditional’ sources, which impose less politically difficult conditions.

         

        Finally, the difficulty aid agencies have had in reinventing themselves for the Sustaining Peace model means they are often all too happy to revert – with a sigh of relief, perhaps – to the simpler, technocratic approach to aid they have long been used to. In the absence of a clear operational approach to Sustaining Peace, they have focused attention on technical cooperation under the umbrella of aid frameworks such as the Humanitarian-Development-Peace Nexus. This sets out the needs for better collaboration among agencies delivering different packages of aid, designed for the three broad goals implied by its name.[12] But in practice the Nexus commits them to coordination merely, rather than to developing programming that is coherent with the idea that humanitarian, development and peacebuilding needs and rights co-exist simultaneously in fragile countries and societies, rather than being understood and delivered separately.

         

        Changing UK institutional capacity for humanitarian and development assistance

        The UK’s institutional capacity to deliver international assistance within the shifting international context is also changing, due to a reduction in aid spending and institutional changes within government.

         

        The UK aid budget

        The UK is, by any measure, a significant international donor. In 2019, it was the third largest donor of Official Development Assistance (ODA), in absolute terms, within the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Development Assistance Committee (DAC) countries after the US and Germany, making a contribution of 19.35 billion USD. As a percentage of Gross National Income (GNI), the UK was sixth of OECD countries with its commitment of 0.7 per cent of GNI.[13]

         

        In 2020, the COVID pandemic saw a significant reduction in UK ODA (minus ten per cent), driven by a decline in GNI.[14] This was followed by a reduction of the commitment to spend 0.7 per cent of GNI on ODA to 0.5 per cent in 2021, leading to an average spending change on ODA of -29 per cent. However, as spending on pandemic related costs, including COVID vaccines donated to other countries and other health related costs count as ODA, some sectors of humanitarian and development assistance suffered significantly steeper cuts than the 29 per cent average. Cuts to the aid budget are set to save around £4.4 billion in 2021, though this constitutes a fraction of the UK Government’s broader pandemic response domestically (£250 billion in 2020-21) or its increase in the defence budget of £4.4 billion in 2021-2022 and a further £4.5 billion in 2022-2023.[15]

         

        The Government has indicated an intention to return to the 0.7 per cent of GNI ODA commitment when the fiscal situation allows. Currently, this is projected to happen in the 2024-2025 fiscal year, depending on certain conditions to be met. How this will translate into the aid budget is not clear, especially given the UK is interested in redefining how it calculates ODA.[16]

         

        Given the size of the UK economy, the UK will remain a significant donor internationally. The sharp decline in aid has significant ramifications for communities which would have otherwise received UK support, particularly in FCACs where the majority of international assistance is directed. This is more than a temporary blip, as well. Aid projects, particularly development or peacebuilding activities, are not able to be turned off and on like switches. They depend on maintaining significant operational capacities among partners (international and national) within recipient countries – which, once unfunded, are difficult to re-establish quickly. They depend also on deep networks and relationships with local stakeholders, authorities and partners, many of which will have been strained or broken by the sudden cessation of projects. This is especially important in FCACs, where trust and a nuanced understanding of complex conflict factors and political economy is essential for effective delivery of aid. These factors have significant consequences for the ability of the UK to deliver humanitarian and development assistance within the short to medium term as spending on ODA recovers.

         

        Changing institutional structures for aid

        The institutions through which the UK is delivering assistance are also changing. In 2020, the Government announced the merger of the Foreign and Commonwealth Office with the Department for International Development (DFID). Proponents of the merger argue both that it makes sense to link aid activities more explicitly with foreign policy and that the separation of aid from other aspects of foreign policy was artificial anyway. Critics suggest that the artificial separation was the strength of DFID, allowing it to get on with the business of addressing poverty effectively with less pressure to tailor activities to foreign policy agendas.

         

        No matter the argument, the merger has happened. The new Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO) has incorporated DFID and has to overcome the inevitable internal distraction of managing the structural and cultural challenges of bringing two organisations with different institutional cultures together (at a time when they are also disentangling long-held aid and diplomatic relationships with the EU). Specifically focused on the problems associated with FCACs, the merger also included the UK’s Stabilisation Unit, uniting that with the conflict capacities in FCDO and DFID within a new Conflict and Mediation Unit.

         

        Also in 2020, the Government announced the Integrated Review completed later that year. The Integrated Review was framed as a pivot in the UK approach to foreign policy, promoting a more joined up and strategic approach to the changing world. The link between aid and other foreign policy tools are made clear, the integrated review promises a new international development strategy in 2022, which will ensure alignment of UK aid with the objectives in the strategic framework of the integrated review.

         

        This is particularly the case with aid related to peace and conflict provided through the Conflict, Stability and Security Fund (CSSF). The Integrated Review refers to the intent: ‘[t]o tighten the focus of the cross-government Conflict, Stability and Security Fund. [The UK] will prioritise its resources on the foundational link between stability, resilience and security, and work with governments and civil society in regions that are of greatest priority to the UK.’[17] It also talks about making CSSF assistance ‘politically smart’, language which connects these ideas to concepts such as the Elite Bargains and Political Deals work of the Stabilisation Unit. This work has merit in providing a framework for better linking structural efforts to address conflict to the political realities of peacemaking.

         

        There is a risk, however, that a focus on ‘politically smart’ aid addressing conflict will practically preference the elite bargains and political deals and neglect the longer-term structural peacebuilding activities which are necessary for meaningful and sustained peace. This concern mirrors a sense that the realpolitik perspective identified earlier in this paper is currently more in vogue and that, in practice, shorter term stability and short-term UK interests will be prioritised over sustainable peace – which is surely in the longer term UK interest. This feels at odds with the idea of the UK as a values-led ‘force for good’, reliant on its soft-power to promote its interests in the world.

         

        A final point relating to institutional capacity needs to be made around partnerships. The UK’s aid sector is not just the domain of the Government. It consists of a large number of partners through which aid is implemented, including multilateral organisations, UK and international NGOs and the private sector. Relating to peace and conflict aid in particular, the UK is a powerhouse – with a strong network of peace focused NGOs and a large pool of experts on which to draw. These capacities are also changing. Reductions in aid spending due to COVID-19 have exacerbated the impacts of a steady increase in focus on ‘value for money’, an important aim in a sector reliant on tax-payer money. However, this has seen a shift towards funding through projects rather than core funding, which limits the ability for organisations like NGOs to maintain capacity and expertise that can be drawn on by the Government to help build peace abroad. There is a broader value of this longer-term capacity to the UK that should not be discounted or lost under the rubric of ‘efficiency’.

         

        Recommendations

        The UK’s aid activities are changing in response to uncertainty both in the international environment and as a result of domestic institutional changes which have not yet reached their conclusion. As UK aid goes through this process, a few key elements are important for the UK to take into account when looking at how aid will be delivered in FCACs:

         

        • The UK is likely to see the largest portion of its aid going towards FCACs, due largely to need, but also to the explicit link made in the Integrated Review between aid and the UK’s strategic priorities. To be effective, this aid needs to be defined and delivered with a clear emphasis on conflict sensitivity and building stability and peace. It needs to be framed – and reported on – showing its explicit contribution to peacebuilding, within a long-term strategic approach in each context.

         

        • The UK’s aid activities need to find the correct balance between efforts aimed at promoting stability, for example through elite bargains and political deals, with the need also to address the structural drivers of violent conflict. ‘Politically smart’ aid should look to create the opportunities, through stability, to then allow for longer-term structural change which is necessary for the evolution of like-minded peaceful societies the UK would like to see. To do so, however, it is necessary to ensure that these politically smart activities are linked to long-term theories of change for conflict transformation and that this theory of change is followed through in consecutive UK political cycles.

         

        • The UK cannot meaningfully act alone in FCACs. The size of its aid programmes, and its expertise in dealing with peace and conflict, provide it with a strong convening capacity around international assistance. The UK should leverage this to maximise the collective impact of international aid towards peace. The UK should invest in making tools like the humanitarian-development-peace nexus more effective for strategic coordination in support of peace, investing in conflict sensitive coordination and advisory mechanisms, and championing conflict sensitive approaches within the broader international humanitarian and development sector. This means going beyond the better coordination, currently the focus of the HDP Nexus, to radically reform parts of the UN aid delivery institutions in line with Sustaining Peace.

         

        • As the UK embarks on defining a new development strategy, and new frameworks for addressing conflict through the FCDO’s new Conflict and Mediation unit, it should ensure that it does not fall into the trap of excluding its wider network of partners. The UK’s capacity to engage in FCACs meaningfully depends on its networks of NGOs and independent experts based in the UK and elsewhere. Certainly, in an environment of aid cuts, it should commit to maintaining a base capacity within those networks.

         

        Tim Molesworth is the Senior Advisor for Conflict Sensitivity and Peace Technology at the Peaceful Change initiative, a UK based peacebuilding NGO. He has 11 years’ experience working with the UN and NGOs in contexts such as Iraq, Syria, Sudan and Libya on strategic approaches to peacebuilding and conflict sensitivity.

         

        Phil Vernon is an independent advisor with over 35 years’ experience in international humanitarian, development and peacebuilding.

         

        Image by DFID under (CC).

         

        [1] Institute for Economics & Peace, Global Peace Index 2021, June 2021, https://www.visionofhumanity.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/GPI-2021-web-1.pdf

        [2] John Campbell, U.S. Policy to Counter Nigeria’s Boko Haram, Council on Foreign Relations, Center for Preventive Action, Special Report No. 70, November 2014, https://www.cfr.org/sites/default/files/pdf/2014/11/Nigeria_CSR70.pdf

        [3] OECD, China’s Belt and Road Initiative in the Global Trade, Investment and Finance Landscape, OECD Business and Finance Outlook, 2018, https://www.oecd.org/finance/Chinas-Belt-and-Road-Initiative-in-the-global-trade-investment-and-finance-landscape.pdf

        [4] Alexander Rondos, The Horn of Africa – Its Strategic Importance for Europe, the Gulf States, and Beyond, Horizons 6, Winter: 150-160, CIRSD, 2016, https://www.cirsd.org/files/000/000/000/99/01cfafd6447aaa326037d9eb4d427acd326ea71a.pdf

        [5] Zainab Usman, What do we know about Chinese lending in Africa?, Carnegie Endowment for Peace, June 2021, https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/06/02/what-do-we-know-about-chinese-lending-in-africa-pub-84648

        [6] HM Government, Global Britain in a competitive age: The Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy, March 2021, https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/975077/Global_Britain_in_a_Competitive_Age-_the_Integrated_Review_of_Security__Defence__Development_and_Foreign_Policy.pdf

        [7] UN News, COVID-19 pandemic ‘feeding’ drivers of conflict and instability in Africa: Guterres, May 202, https://news.un.org/en/story/2021/05/1092222

        [8] Conciliation Resources, Responding to Ebola-driven conflict: Dialogue initiatives in Mano River border regions, March 2015, https://www.c-r.org/resource/responding-ebola-driven-conflict

        [9] Dan Smith & Janani Vivekananda, A Climate of Conflict: The links between climate change, peace and war, International Alert, November 2007, https://www.international-alert.org/publications/climate-conflict/?gclid=Cj0KCQiA-qGNBhD3ARIsAO_o7ynvgtN5zusQuCMjMOj5jzDm3ysSnTJ4u8aVesSnWxSn9uZKbTiXIvkaAtmVEALw_wcB

        [10] OECD DAC, States of Fragility 2020, OECD, September 2020, https://www.oecd.org/dac/states-of-fragility-fa5a6770-en.htm

        [11] UN. 2015. The challenge of sustaining peace: report of the Advisory Group of Experts for the 2015 review of the United Nations peacebuilding architecture. New York: UN.

        [12] The Nexus is identified as a priority within the integrated review.

        [13] OECD, Development finance data, https://www.oecd.org/dac/financing-sustainable-development/development-finance-data/

        [14] OECD, COVID-19 spending helped to lift foreign aid to an all-time high in 2020: Detailed Note, April 2021, https://www.oecd.org/dac/financing-sustainable-development/development-finance-data/ODA-2020-detailed-summary.pdf

        [15] Sam Hughes, Ian Mitchell, Yani Tyskerud & Ross Warwick, The UK’s reduction in aid spending, IFS Briefing Note BN322, Institute of Financial Studies, April 2021, https://ifs.org.uk/uploads/BN322-The-UK%27s-reduction-in-aid-spending-2.pdf

        [16] Philip Loft & Philip Brien, The 0.7% aid target, House of Commons Library Research Briefing Number 3714, House of Commons Library, November 2021, https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/SN03714/SN03714.pdf

        [17] HM Government, Global Britain in a competitive age: The Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy, March 2021, https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/975077/Global_Britain_in_a_Competitive_Age-_the_Integrated_Review_of_Security__Defence__Development_and_Foreign_Policy.pdf

        Footnotes
          Related Articles

          Heavy lift human security: The UK military and fragile states

          Article by Richard Reeve

          Heavy lift human security: The UK military and fragile states

          When we talk about conflict sensitivity, invariably the first words we hear are ‘Do no harm’. In practice, we know that this is an impossible ask. All interventions, however benign or well intentioned, have consequences that create winners and losers. And in the most fragile societies, where relations are already most unjust and unequal, these knock-on effects can have much greater amplification. So we focus on understanding these consequences and how they influence the context.

           

          When we think about the possibilities of using military ‘force for good’, we assuredly cannot presume that no harm will be done. In many ways, the use or threat of violence is the application of harm. It aims to break the will of at least one side of a conflict, to change power dynamics and compel a settlement on different terms. And it is axiomatic that it envisages serious physical harm as a potentially acceptable cost of shifting the status quo.

           

          In the most extreme examples, unleashing such force on a vast scale and the destruction of millions of lives, was the cost that the UK and its allies felt was justified to prevent a Nazi German invasion of the UK, to liberate Europe and to end the holocaust. On a much smaller scale, it was the cost of protecting Bosnian, Kosovar, Timorese, Sierra Leonean or Yezidi civilians from mass atrocities and the price that many believe the UK and other states should have been prepared to pay to avert genocide in Rwanda and carnage in Syria.

           

          In the current century the option to utilise the military as a ‘force for good’ in supposed pursuit of liberal ideals – democracy, human rights, free markets – in illiberal lands, a magic wand for breaking and remaking other countries, has waxed and waned dramatically. Moving from the zero (British) casualty operations in Kosovo and Kurdistan to the megadeath quagmires of Iraq and Afghanistan, the increasing harm done by UK military interventions has become ever more apparent over time. Yet the idea that the British Armed Forces have an almost uniquely global role and responsibility to do good is one that almost all senior figures in UK political parties, the media and the military itself cling to. It is integral to this year’s Integrated Review, as it has also been to every security and defence review since at least the Cold War.

           

          This essay asks whether there is still a constructive role for the UK military to play in promoting global peace and security. It looks first at the military posture envisaged for the 2020s by the Integrated Review, then at some of the problematic principles and assumptions that underlie the current approach, suggesting some alternatives. It then examines some types of operation involving military contributions – not all of them violent – with which the UK could be involved, and identifies some of the unique capacities that might help the UK pivot to a more useful international role.

           

          Lost in the grey-zone

          How the UK military understands its future role is better approached through a study of the Ministry of Defence’s Defence Command Paper and the armed forces’ own Integrated Operating Concept than by studying the Integrated Review itself.[1] Unsurprisingly, the Defence Command Paper apes the Review’s analysis of threat from all sides, not least in a risible infographic on page six that features ‘Over exposure through globalisation’ as its primary interconnecting threat.[2]

           

          Whatever this means, the MOD is clear that it requires a different strategic approach. Secretary of State Ben Wallace writes, “The notion of war and peace as binary states has given way to a continuum of conflict, requiring us to prepare our forces for more persistent global engagement and constant campaigning, moving seamlessly from operating to war fighting.”[3] He clarified this further in a speech in Washington in July, declaring that the armed forces must “compete below the threshold of open conflict” and “no longer be held as a force of last resort”.[4]

           

          The Defence Command Paper pursues the Integrated Review’s logic of competitive advantage to make its case for ‘Persistent engagement overseas’:

          “In the current threat landscape, and in an era of constant competition, we must have an increased forward presence to compete with and campaign against our adversaries below the threshold of armed conflict, and to understand, shape and influence the global landscape to the UK’s advantage. To pursue our foreign policy objectives and shape conditions for stability, we will rebalance our force to provide a more proactive, forward deployed, persistent presence.”[5]

           

          So the UK will pursue its advantage through having more personnel and equipment in more places for longer, ready for war. Paradoxically, the reduced size army does this by reorganising to have more special operations forces (four new Rangers battalions) and other specialised units deployed ‘persistently’ overseas to train, mentor and accompany allied armed forces against unspecified enemies. The Royal Navy will scatter its ships more widely, and especially into the ‘Indo-Pacific’, from free-roaming aircraft carrier strike groups to offshore patrol vessels based in Singapore and Gibraltar.

           

          This seems like radical stuff – as the MOD rightly says – but it demands some critical unpacking. Are we really unilaterally declaring that everything is now so grey that there is no legal or perceptual threshold between war and peace? If we are already constantly campaigning, do we not need to specify who we are operating against? Because if so, then we are already at war, exactly the situation that normal countries seek to avoid. Or is that we have been at war all along but been unwilling to recognise it?

           

          National interests, national ambitions and national assumptions

          How does a normal country define its interests? How does it define its own security? These are not trivial questions but ignoring them has been central to British security policy since at least World War II. Victory in that global conflict, a permanent seat at the UN, and two or three centuries of imperial expansion have long persuaded the UK that it has a status above the normal, that of a great power with global interests. A state of global importance. A force for good.

           

          Time and the Treasury have chipped away at this importance. Tensions within Europe, the long march of decolonisation and post-imperial economic dislocation made their mark in the 1960s and 1970s. But the hubris of victory in the Falklands, Gulf and Cold Wars also buoyed much talk of national ambition, of being a lighter country that punches above its weight, of projecting power. So we see in successive defence and security reviews from 1998 onwards the reassertion of the UK’s global interests and the importance of a military with a global expeditionary capability. Increased dependence on and entanglement with the military of the United States is the little mentioned subtext to this revived assertiveness.

           

          What we have lost sight of is how exceptional such a role is. Like the US and France, the UK continues to define itself as a global player with global interests and global responsibilities, even while fretting about the globalisation of Chinese or Russian ambitions. Other larger ‘middle powers’ without permanent UN seats or nuclear weapons – Japan, Germany, Indonesia, Brazil, Mexico, Italy, Canada, and Spain – do not seem to feel the same way. Defence, for virtually all states, means the defence of national territory and population, not the need to be involved in combatting threats thousands of kilometres away.[6] Despite a minor resurgence within the Integrated Review, homeland defence has been but a minor feature of UK security strategy for decades.

           

          As painful as reckoning with the past and privilege can be, it is essential that the UK does understand how exceptional its approach to security is, how this came about, and why this might present problems for its engagement with other parts of the world. A strategic refresh should start not with how the UK can uphold its strategic advantage over other countries, but with how it can work cooperatively with other states to overcome common challenges. It should start from a place of humility that assumes no special rights, interests or privileges. It should work from the assumption that the shared security of people everywhere is a more stable basis for national security than struggling for competitive advantage.

           

          ‘Force for good’?

          Even starting from such a position of shared or common security, it is possible to recognise that aspects of the threatening world that the Integrated Review describes are grounded in reality. While we may recognise these ‘threats’ as manifestations of deeper underlying diseases like the desperation of poverty, the marginalisation of inequality, and the indignity of autocracy, each requiring very different kinds of intervention to transform conflict, such violent symptoms can often present real problems of how to manage violent conflict and crisis.

           

          The most obvious international role for the military in a cooperative, multilateral context is through contributions to UN peacekeeping operations. The UK was once a leader in such support, not least during the Bosnian intervention of the mid-1990s. That fell away with the shift in emphasis to ‘counter-terrorism’ operations in Afghanistan, Iraq and beyond in the 2000s but was made more of a priority under David Cameron in the 2010s. This has included both deployment of British peacekeepers and the training of other militaries, usually African, to participate in UN peacekeeping operations. Even so, unlike some militaries from the Global South, UN peacekeeping still occupies a tiny fraction of the UK military – well under one per cent of personnel.[7]

           

          A few caveats are worth making to UN peacekeeping in the 21st century. While some missions remain genuinely about observing truces, separating armed parties to peace agreements, protecting civilians and overseeing military-to-civilian transitions, in the last decade others have abandoned impartiality and become more enmeshed in active conflict through adopting mandates that exclude certain ‘extremist’ parties from political processes and commit to offensive operations against them.[8] UNAMSIL in Mali and MONUSCO in the DRC are examples. Also controversial has been UN mandating of offensive ‘peace enforcement operations’ by other states or institutions such as the African Union (in Somalia), France (in the Sahel) or even NATO (in Afghanistan and Libya), sometimes in parallel with UN peacekeepers. UK troops are far more likely to have been involved in such operations.[9]

           

          Military forces can also be useful in what are essentially paramilitary policing roles. This can be within UN peacekeeping operations, in which gendarmerie-type units are increasingly in demand for policing roles, or on the high seas. Operations to counter piracy off Somalia and in the Gulf of Guinea have been the focus of much international cooperation in the last 15 years, including such unlikely partners as the US, UK EU, India, Pakistan, China and Japan. Yet most states send vastly complex frigates and destroyers to do there what could be done by patrol vessels of the sort that the UK has just deployed to Southeast Asia. Like helping to patrol unpoliced waters off West Africa against illegal trawlers, this is a role perhaps better suited to paramilitary coast guard patrol vessels and aircraft.

           

          The UK military also has a role in crisis response that has been useful in a number of humanitarian disasters, including rescuing and supplying civilian victims of hurricanes or cyclones in the Caribbean and Philippines, and the heroic medical response to the Ebola epidemic in Sierra Leone. Possessing transport aircraft, heavy lift helicopters, engineers and robust equipment, field hospitals and a specialised hospital ship (RFA Argus) all give the UK military an advantage in such responses in several regions. While some militaries, notably the Italian, have made integrating such humanitarian assistance and disaster response (HADR) capabilities into their forces a priority, it may be questioned whether a similar capability might not be more efficiently resourced through civilian structures with no primary warfighting role. Or perhaps a more hybrid military-civilian capability akin to the Royal Fleet Auxiliary (RFA) or the military medical services is the future.

           

          Finally, at the potentially more violent or ‘kinetic’ end of the spectrum of potential operations, there may be cases in which UK forces could contribute, alone or in coalitions, to more potentially lethal missions under the hazy international Responsibility to Protect (R2P). UK-spearheaded civilian protection and militia disarmament operations in East Timor (INTERFET, 1999, led by Australia), Sierra Leone (Operation Palliser, 2000) and Macedonia (Operation Essential Harvest, 2001) give some indications of the factors underlying potential success. Apart from the small physical scale of such contexts and well trained and equipped troops, these factors would include a UN mandate, the broad consent of the local government and/or civilian population, observance of international humanitarian law, and clear strategic objectives, including a military exit strategy and plan for long-term support. Many other UK operations, from Nigeria to Afghanistan, show how disastrously such missions can fail when these preconditions are lacking.

           

          Human security advantages

          What I have tried to sketch out above is some means by which the UK military could be reoriented to play a constrained but constructive international role in support of peace and human security. It does not presuppose that the British Armed Forces would not also retain a ‘normal’ role in actual defence of national territory and population. This, after all, is why most – but by no means all – countries retain armed forces. Nor does it presuppose that other civilian forms of building and maintaining peace – diplomatic, developmental, and humanitarian – should not be given far greater prominence and resourcing. It therefore aims to suggest how national security at home might co-exist with the promotion of human security abroad. Unlike the Integrated Review, it proceeds precisely from the premise that use of force should be a last resort and that war should be an exceptional state of affairs.

           

          Such a posture is not without precedent internationally and can be seen in, for example, the internationalist positions of such states as Ghana, Ireland, New Zealand, South Africa and Sweden. Yet these are all relatively small countries with very limited military capabilities. The UK, even assuming a significant reduction in military spending, would be operating at far greater capacity: a globally responsible human security provider capable of heavy-lift operations and responses at strategic scale.

           

          For the past two decades much larger British resources have been expended across Western Asia in catastrophic and futile wars of choice that have vastly diminished the security of millions abroad and diminished us as a country. Beyond curtailing such urges and associated forward deployments, a new focus on international cooperation and human security is vital to the UK, if not being a force for good, at least doing far less harm.

           

          Richard Reeve is the Coordinator of the Rethinking Security network. He has worked in peace and conflict research in the UK, Africa and Western Asia for over 20 years, including as Chief Executive of Oxford Research Group, Head of Research at International Alert, research fellow at King’s College London and Chatham House, and an editor/analyst at Jane’s Information Group.

           

          Image by DFID under (CC).

           

          [1] Ministry of Defence, Integrated Operating Concept, September 2020, https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1014659/Integrated_Operating_Concept_2025.pdf

          [2] Ministry of Defence, Defence in a competitive age (CP 411), p.6, Gov.uk, March 2021, https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/defence-in-a-competitive-age

          [3] Ibid, p.2.

          [4] Ministry of Defence and The Rt Hon Ben Wallace MP, Defence Secretary’s speech at the American Enterprise Institute, Gov.uk, July 2021, https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/defence-secretarys-speech-at-the-american-enterprise-institute

          [5] MOD (2021) Defence in a competitive age (CP 411), p.15.

          [6] Celia McKeon, Contrasting Narratives: A Comparative Study of European and North American National Security Strategies, Rethinking Security, March 2018, https://rethinkingsecurityorguk.files.wordpress.com/2018/03/contrasting-narratives-march-2018.pdf

          [7] As of September 30th 2021, the UK contributed 605 personnel to UN Peacekeeping operations, less than 0.5 per cent of c.140,000 personnel. At most a few hundred more were involved in training other peacekeepers.

          [8] For discussion of the issues, see Larry Attree and Jordan Street, Incompatible Bedfellows: UN Peace Operations and Counter-terrorism, Saferworld, September 2020, https://www.saferworld.org.uk/resources/news-and-analysis/post/909-incompatible-bedfellows-un-peace-operations-and-counterterrorism

          [9] Contribution of three Chinook heavy lift helicopters to France’s Operation Barkhane in Mali is one current example.

          Footnotes
            Related Articles

            UK private sector interests in fragile states

            Article by Phil Bloomer

            UK private sector interests in fragile states

            ‘Global Britain’ encapsulates broad principles and aspirations for the UK’s continued influence in the world. The Prime Minister, in his preface to Global Britain in a Competitive Age (often referred to as the Integrated Review), said: “The creation of the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office is the springboard for all our international efforts, integrating diplomacy and development to achieve greater impact and address the links between climate change and extreme poverty.”[1]

             

            A growing criticism of ‘Global Britain’ is that the aspirations, in a number of areas, are not backed up by a credible and coherent plan for implementation. Fragile states, and the precarious human rights of their citizens, are, regrettably, no exception to this criticism. The UK Government’s approach to the impact of UK business on conflict and rights in precarious societies relies heavily on the belief of a benign invisible hand of the market, and an appeal to voluntarism -‘do the right thing’ – from both responsible and unscrupulous companies. But high-risk fragile states tend to attract those looking for big rewards at any cost, even fuelling conflict and gaining cheap, pliant communities or labour through collusion with state silencing of human rights defenders.

             

            Fragile states often present opportunities for high return on investment to key sectors of UK business, but also risks. And from the flip side, UK investment can create new jobs for the people of fragile states but also threats to their livelihoods, labour rights and land rights. The outcomes for people’s dignities and freedoms depend greatly on the intentions and approach of the UK company, the willingness of the national government to act as a fair interlocutor between the company and communities and, and the UK Government’s own commitments to uphold responsible investment and business practice.

             

            Globalisation, and the digitalisation of the UK economy, has transformed UK business and its global supply chains. These have become truly global, intensely complex, with short-lived supplier contracts that pass risk and cost down to the poorest and most vulnerable – often women and migrant workers in factories and farms. The pandemic has exposed fragilities in these supply chains, and has exacerbated inequalities of power and wealth in the extended supply chains that characterise many UK business interests in fragile states. The Business and Human Rights Resource Centre is still supporting apparel workers across Asia to gain their unpaid wages for the clothes they manufactured for UK fashion brands in the first phase of the pandemic.

             

            Abuse is far more prevalent in fragile states, with low governance capacities. The Business and Human Rights Resource Centre’s monitoring of abuse by global business from 2015 to July 2021 witnessed 3,303 allegations, of which over half, 1,859, were in the 32 fragile states, plus the Philippines, Colombia and Brazil.

             

            This article seeks draw out some lessons from the Business and Human Rights Resource Centre’s global monitoring and database of human rights in business, focusing on key areas where UK business can play a key role either in building resilience, or exacerbating fragility and risk for communities and workers.

             

            From corporate voluntarism to smart regulation and incentives

            UK multinationals span the world, and many have links with fragile states. Like most of Europe and North America, the UK Government, for decades, has had a hands-off approach, relying on market forces, voluntary action, and some ‘nudge’ politics to promote responsible business conduct, even in fragile states. But the mood has shifted in the US and Europe recently regarding business incentives and regulation, and the UK risks being left behind. Increasingly the abuse of workers and communities in fragile states with poor governance, and the trafficking of workers from these states to forced labour in fields and factories in global supply chains, are no longer tolerable. The US is debating new regulatory standards and the Customs and Border Patrol have aggressively banned imports of goods suspected of being produced with forced labour. While the EU, and member states, have legislative initiatives to demand companies identify and prevent human rights risks in their operations and supply chains – a move that has special relevance to fragile states where much abuse by unscrupulous business occurs, often in collusion with the state.

             

            Global Britain has some legal strengths to build on, including the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, and UK Supreme Court judgements. There is an increasing trend of victims of corporate abuse bringing civil claims against UK companies for harm caused by their overseas subsidiaries. Recent decisions indicate UK courts willingness to accept jurisdiction in some cases. Critically for abuse in fragile states, foreign claimants’ inability to obtain sustainable justice in their home country, through lack of resources, for instance, will be taken into consideration by the UK courts when assessing jurisdiction. The UK Supreme Court’s landmark judgment in Vedanta Resources Plc and Konkola Copper Mines Plc v Lungowe and Ors held that a UK parent company does, under certain conditions, owe a duty of care to people and communities (in this case, Zambian villagers) affected by its overseas subsidiary’s operations and could be held liable for harm.[2] In this case, the Supreme Court affirmed the UK courts’ jurisdiction partly because there was a real issue to be tried and partly because “there was a real risk that the claimants would not obtain substantial justice in the Zambian jurisdiction”.

             

            Another positive development is the UK Supreme Court’s 2021 judgement in Okpabi v Shell (concerning alleged oil pollution and damages in Nigeria).[3] The court cautioned against striking out a claim against a parent company at the jurisdiction stage (given the challenges claimants have in accessing evidence). This case will proceed to trial. This should make it easier for foreign claimants alleging parent company liability to have access to UK courts. Royal Dutch Shell is incorporated in the UK as a public limited company, with total assets of 379.3 billion USD in 2020. Shell has been operating in Nigeria since the late 1950s. The legacy the company has left in the country includes distrust and violence, environmental harm, and little to no economic development for many communities surrounding their projects. Allegations against Shell have ranged from exacerbating tribal conflict, complicity in unlawful arrests, and major pollution events.[4] In 2021, Shell was made to pay $45.7 billion naira ($111 million USD) in compensation from an oil spill from a ruptured pipeline in 1970.[5]

             

            It is too early to assess whether increasing access to courts in the UK will actually translate into enhanced access to justice and remedy for victims of corporate abuse. To date there have been no court rulings on the merits. For example, Vedanta settled out of court in January 2021, two years after the UK Supreme Court affirmed the UK courts had jurisdiction; without admission of liability.[6] Nonetheless, this is a promising development. We can expect additional claims will be brought in UK courts going forward.

             

            Transition minerals for clean energy futures

            A number of fragile states hold key mineral wealth that is strategic to the world’s transition to clean energy. Minerals such as cobalt, copper, lithium, manganese, nickel and zinc are central to success. The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts a six-fold increase in production of transition minerals by 2030, for lithium it is 40-fold. Prices and production are already surging.[7] Most are concentrated in only a few states, many of which are fragile – Democratic Republic of the Congo (cobalt), Indonesia and the Philippines (nickel), and Bolivia (lithium). And even within these states, the minerals are often concentrated in the last territories of indigenous people whose nations’ existence is intimately linked to the land. Chinese mining companies prevail and are investing heavily, and the UK is being urged to build its stake in these geopolitically strategic minerals as competition heats up for future access. The quality of UK investment will be critical to the people and communities that should also benefit from this boom.

             

            At the Resource Centre we monitor threats and attacks on Human Rights Defenders, a powerful litmus test of fragility. Unsurprisingly, over a third are linked to the extractive sector. Our survey of human rights abuse in transition mineral extraction reveals a similarly concerning picture: more than 300 serious allegations against 115 transition mineral mining companies, ranging from violence, to violation of indigenous land rights, water pollution, health threats, corruption, and a systemic failure to consult local communities.[8]

             

            Irresponsible investments are driving conflict and polarisation. For instance, water-intensive lithium mining in the arid lithium triangle of Chile, Bolivia, Argentina and Chile, the world’s driest environment, has triggered a wave of protests and legal battles over water rights, pitching indigenous communities against multinational mining companies. Nickel production in Indonesia is driving battles over water pollution. Cobalt mining in the DRC is linked to allegations of child labour, large-scale corruption, and the funding of armed groups.

             

            The UK Government cannot rely on voluntarism to prevent abuse. Codes such as the Voluntary Principles for Security and Human Rights encourage leading companies, but unscrupulous companies are, too often, immune to their influence. HMG should use the leadership it gained from COP26 to help build a multilateral commitment to demand companies identify and prevent risks through mandatory human rights and environmental due diligence, building on the example of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act. With the US Securities and Exchange Commission and the European Union considering similar legislative initiatives, this could be low-hanging fruit if China can be persuaded to collaborate. The alternative is ballooning protest, legal challenge and loss of investor confidence, which together will act as a critical brake on projects and the fast transition.

             

            UK Modern Slavery Act and fragile states

            The conditions of fragile states create desperate people. Often facing poverty and repression, people seek routes to a better future elsewhere. Human traffickers, know these souls are a lucrative income source, and adopt strategies to funnel desperate people into conditions of forced labour.

             

            In 2015, the UK Government established the landmark Modern Slavery Act. Its aim was to encourage global business to eradicate modern slavery. It deployed ‘nudge politics’ and voluntarism to shift companies to action on modern slavery. Section 54 requires companies to publish a statement of the steps they have “taken during the financial year to ensure that slavery and human trafficking is not taking place” in its operations or supply chains.[9] The intention was to create a ‘race to the top’ by encouraging businesses to declare their efforts to tackle modern slavery risks, and so increase competition to drive up standards for appropriate and effective response to modern slavery. There is no doubt that the Modern Slavery Act raised the profile of this issue of forced labour in many countries, but has it had an effect on UK companies’ actions to eliminate this scourge from their supply chains?

             

            Business & Human Rights Resource Centre (BHRRC) hosted the only public repository of statements – the Modern Slavery Registry – for the first six years, to 2021.[10] We assessed compliance of over 16,000 modern slavery statements of some of the largest global companies over the past five years.[11] Unfortunately, the overwhelming evidence is that the approach of the UK Modern Slavery Act has failed in its stated intentions. The provisions of the UK Act itself, based on a requirement to submit a trifling level of reporting which was not monitored or enforced, has failed to drive systemic corporate action to expunge forced labour, even in high-risk sectors. The Act has raised awareness of the prevalence of modern slavery and encouraged a cluster of leading companies and investors to do more. But ultimately, our analysis reveals no significant improvements in the vast majority of companies’ policies, practice or performance.

             

            Despite six years of persistent non-compliance with the minimal demands of the Act by two in five (40 per cent) of companies, not one injunction or administrative penalty (such as exclusion from lucrative public procurement contracts) was applied to a company for failing to report. This stands in stark contrast to more robust approaches, such as the Section 307 of the Tariff Act in the US where goods suspected of being produced with forced labour have been banned from being imported. This has led to rapid and multi-million dollar repayment of recruitment fees to workers in conditions of forced labour by suppliers desperate to enter the lucrative US market.[12]

             

            Critically, the Act has failed to drive systemic improvement in corporate practice to eliminate modern slavery because it does not place any legally binding standards on companies to undertake efforts to effectively address risks of labour exploitation in their business operations. In fact, the Act explicitly states a company may publish a statement that says it has taken no steps to address modern slavery risks during the financial year and still be compliant with the law. The inadequacy of the Act to protect the estimated 25 million victims of forced labour around the world has been highlighted during the COVID-19 pandemic, which has further increased the risk to workers of forced labour. The pandemic has demonstrated how systemic the causes of labour exploitation are, especially in fragile states, and the urgent need for legally binding obligations on companies – properly enforced – that go beyond weak reporting requirements.

             

            Transparency is a necessary, but insufficient condition for systemic corporate change, even for the worst forms of labour abuse. Three policy shifts would more effectively tackle modern slavery in UK companies and their supply chains:

            1. A new piece of legislation to impose legal liability on all companies in all sectors for a failure to prevent human rights abuses in their businesses;
            2. The introduction of import bans for goods suspected of being produced with forced labour; and
            3. The application of these laws to public procurement.

             

            Migrants, forced labour and the UK’s global hotel brands

            Fragile states such as Nepal and Ethiopia also seek to augment their slim GDP through the export of migrant labour around the world. Remittances can become an important source of support to impoverished communities and regions where migration by recruitment agencies is better regulated and the employers abide by good labour law. But too often unscrupulous agents charge extortionate fees for the job and travel, leading to debt bondage, and employers and franchises tolerate abuse to provide cheap and pliant labour. Insights on the toleration of forced labour in UK business’s supply chains are highlighted in our survey of international hotel brands gearing up in Qatar for the World Cup 2022. To manage the expected influx of players, supporters and the media, the Gulf state has seen exponential growth of the hotel industry, with an additional 26,000 hotel rooms brought on stream in time for the World Cup. Yet our research shows hotel brands have failed to take necessary action to protect migrant workers, who suffer serious abuses including: extortionate recruitment fees, discrimination, and being trapped in a job through fear of reprisal and intimidation. These occur despite ‘landmark’ labour reforms which promised to end the Kafala system – a fixed term sponsorship which leaves workers wholly dependent on one employer, no matter their treatment, and unable to change jobs.

             

            The Business & Human Rights Resource Centre invited 19 hotel companies, three of them British (IHG, Whitbread, and Millennium and Copthorne), representing more than 100 global brands with over 80 properties across Qatar, to participate in a second survey on their approach to safeguarding migrant workers’ rights in the country. Our survey revealed a widespread lack of action by hotel brands to prevent and exclude forced labour.[13] This reinforced the stream of stories from workers about abuse taking place in hotels, but the survey also highlighted a cluster of companies who have shown greater leadership. IHG Hotels & Resorts is the highest ranked company, whereas Millennium and Copthorne did not respond and were ranked ‘no stars’ due to lack of relevant information on their site.

             

            Our interviews with hotel workers revealed a shocking contrast between many hotels’ public policy commitments and their practical application or enforcement. This was particularly evident in recruitment processes, where eight out of 18 workers reported being charged high fees for jobs (the precursor to forced labour) despite the fact that only IHG provided transparent figures for the number of workers it identified had paid such fees. The interviews revealed discrimination in position and pay based on nationality and far worse treatment of subcontracted workers. Most alarmingly, almost all workers reported being scared to request to change jobs when they saw a better opportunity, with some fearful the hotels would report them to the authorities and subsequently have them deported.

             

            Much of this points to conditions of ‘forced labour’ as defined by the International Labour Organisation (ILO). Unfortunately, the responses by brands revealed none conducted worker-centric monitoring of the conditions of subcontracted workers despite this vulnerable group often working long-term for the hotel brand. Huge profits are set to be made by the multinational and national hotel brands which will host these visitors. Meanwhile, migrant workers from fragile states in East Africa, South Asia and South-East Asia, trapped in exploitative contracts and paying back hefty recruitment debts, will serve these visitors. The good news is that the World Players Union, leading footballers, and some national football federations are demanding fair treatment in the luxury hotels, before they make their booking.

             

            Fragile states and the pandemic

            The pandemic is hitting many fragile and poor states hard. Low income countries had a two per cent vaccination rate on the September 9th 2021, compared to 65 per cent for high income countries. The further economic disruption and social challenges that the pandemic generates are exaggerated further in fragile states by the precariousness of people’s lives and their lack of savings to cope with shocks. The after-effects are likely to last at least a decade as people try to recover from their loss of earnings, as well as friends and family.

             

            Global Britain could be doing far more than it is to ensure its own contracts with the businesses manufacturing the viruses. The UK has enough vaccine to jab everyone five times over, and we are about to give the general population boosters, while countries such as Ethiopia, Afghanistan, Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Mozambique, have vaccinated a fraction of their populations with one dose.

             

            Equally, the G7 Summit this year, chaired by the UK, was a golden opportunity to put in place a rich-country financing plan for developing countries. Yet the chance was allowed to slip away, with tragic human consequences for fragile states, and potentially for the UK too. The pandemic highlights our interconnected world. As Mamta Murthi, the World Bank’s Vice President for Human Development, has warned: “The situation that we see right now is absolutely unacceptable, because a large part of the world remains unvaccinated and this is a danger for all of us.”[14]

             

            To meet the international targets, we need to move beyond intermittent vaccine donations to fragile and poor states to large-scale, coordinated dose-sharing. As Kevin Watkins has argued: “The EU, the United Kingdom, and the US should immediately share an additional 250 million doses – less than one-quarter of their collective surplus – through COVAX…. with a clear schedule for providing an additional one billion doses by early 2022.[15]

             

            Conclusion

            ‘Global Britain’ aspires to embrace the UK’s fundamental values of fairness, care for the vulnerable, and promotion of peace and democracy. It has the potential to make this come alive in our relations with fragile states, including through the actions of responsible business. Nevertheless, the Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office has a huge challenge to work across government departments to build a coherent and credible plan to realise the vision through trade and investment; business regulations and incentives, including UK tax havens; and vaccination policy. Currently the approach to fragile states appears to suffer from the same high rhetoric and low implementation that may undermine public trust in both the UK and in fragile states.

             

            The UK could begin to demonstrate greater leadership immediately through some bold feasible actions:

            1. Modern Slavery Act: Strengthen the modern slavery act by catching up with Australia and the US with:
              • Obligations to report on mitigation measures and enforcement of transparency;
              • Legal liability if these are inadequate and facilitate forced labour in supply chains; and
              • The introduction of import bans for goods suspected of being produced with forced labour

             

            1. Human rights due diligence: Adapt the landmark Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, and the EU’s Sustainable Corporate Governance legislation, to develop a legal obligation on companies to demonstrate they have identified salient human rights risks for workers and communities in their operations and supply chains, and taken proper measures to eliminate these risks.

             

            1. Revision of UK Government’s business incentives: Limit public procurement contracts and export credit guarantees to companies that both declare and report alignment with key business and human rights law; from the ILO convention on forced labour to the late John Ruggie’s UN Guiding Principles for Business and Human Rights.

             

            1. Just transition to clean energy: In the aftermath of COP26, seek multilateral agreements with US, China, and EU to adopt minimum standards of corporate respect for human rights across the clean energy supply chain, and especially for fragile states.

             

            Phil Bloomer became Executive Director of Business & Human Rights Resource Centre in September 2013. Based at the Centre’s London headquarters, Phil is responsible for leading the global organisation, delivering the mission and strategic priorities, and ensuring effective management of programme, personnel, finance, and administration. Prior to joining the Resource Centre Phil was Director of Campaigns and Policy at Oxfam GB, where he was responsible for a team of 170 staff working across policy, advocacy, programme and campaigns. His team’s priorities were food justice, humanitarian protection and assistance in conflict zones, and the provision of essential health and education for all. Previously he was head of Oxfam International’s Make Trade Fair, and Access to Medicines campaigns. Prior to joining Oxfam, Phil spent 11 years in Latin America and worked on human rights dimensions of business, including in food security, resource extraction; mega-projects; and business relations with public and private security in repressive environments.

             

            [1] HM Government, Global Britain in a competitive age: The Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy, March 2021, https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/975077/Global_Britain_in_a_Competitive_Age-_the_Integrated_Review_of_Security__Defence__Development_and_Foreign_Policy.pdf

            [2] The Supreme Court, Judgement – Vedenta Resources PLC and another (Appellants) v Lungowe and others (Respondents), April 2019, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2017-0185-judgment.pdf

            [3] The Supreme Court, Judgement – Okpabi and others (Appellants) v Royal Dutch Shell Plc and another (Respondents), February 2021, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2018-0068-judgment.pdf

            [4] Onome Amawhe, Long-Dead Oilfield In Nigeria Still Sows Conflict Between Shell and Communities That Watched It Grow, Forbes, November 2021, https://www.forbes.com/sites/zengernews/2021/11/02/long-dead-oilfield-in-nigeria-still-sows-conflict-between-shell-and-communities-that-watched-it-grow/; Amnesty International, On Trial: Shell in Nigeria, February 2020, https://www.amnesty.de/sites/default/files/2020-02/Amnesty-Bericht-Nigeria-Shell-on-trial-Februar-2020-ENG.pdf

            [5] William Clowes, Shell to Pay $111 Million to Resolve Long-Running Oil-Spill Dispute in Nigeria, Insurance Journal, August 2021, https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/international/2021/08/17/627485.htm

            [6] Leigh Day, Vedanta & Konkola Copper Mines settle UK lawsuit brought by Zambian villagers for alleged pollution from mining activities, Business & Human Rights Resource Centre, January 2021, https://www.business-humanrights.org/en/latest-news/vedanta-konkola-copper-mines-settle-uk-lawsuit-brought-by-zambian-villagers-for-alleged-pollution-from-mining-activities/

            [7] International Energy Agency, World Energy Outlook Special Report, The Role of Critical Minerals in Clean Energy Transitions, May 2021, https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/24d5dfbb-a77a-4647-abcc-667867207f74/TheRoleofCriticalMineralsinCleanEnergyTransitions.pdf

            [8] Transition Minerals Tracker, see: https://trackers.business-humanrights.org/transition-minerals/

            [9] UK Public General Acts, Modern Slavery Act 2015 – Part 6 Section 54, https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2015/30/section/54/enacted

            [10] Business & Human Rights Resource Centre, Modern Slavery Statements, https://www.business-humanrights.org/en/from-us/modern-slavery-statements/

            [11] Business & Human Rights Resource Centre, Modern Slavery Statements, Briefing & Analysis Reporting, https://www.business-humanrights.org/en/from-us/modern-slavery-statements/briefings-analysis-of-reporting/

            [12] Congressional Research Service, Section 307 and Imports Produced by Forced Labor, Updated May 20 2021, https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11360#:~:text=Section%20307%20of%20the%20Tariff,(CBP)%20enforces%20the%20prohibition

            [13] Business & Human Rights Resource Centre, Luxury hotels check out over migrant worker abuses in Qatar, July 2021, https://www.business-humanrights.org/en/from-us/media-centre/press-release-luxury-hotels-check-out-over-migrant-worker-abuses-in-qatar/

            [14] World Bank Group, The Development Podcast, ‘Absolutely Unacceptable’ Vaccination Rates in Developing Countries, Episode 17, The World Bank, August 2021, https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/podcast/2021/07/30/-absolutely-unacceptable-vaccination-rates-in-developing-countries-the-development-podcast

            [15] Kevin Watkins, Ending “Trickle Down” Vaccine Economics, Project Syndicate, September 2021, https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/ending-trickle-down-vaccine-economics-by-kevin-watkins-2021-09

            Footnotes
              Related Articles

              Unpacking climate, development and conflict: Insights for contexts of FCACs

              Article by Dr Naho Mirumachi and Marine Hautsch

              Unpacking climate, development and conflict: Insights for contexts of FCACs

              Climate change and pitfalls of low carbon development

              The recently concluded discussions of the COP26 climate summit highlighted that progress towards meeting the 1.5C target could not come any sooner. Rapid, decisive action has been called upon by those states and peoples affected the most. Emission cuts need to be revised and nations need to redouble their efforts at limiting temperature rise. Side events at the summit featured low carbon strategies, ranging from renewable energy expansion, addressing deforestation and low carbon agriculture plans. Low carbon development will continue to be an attractive option for developing countries whereby two objectives of enhancing economic growth and reducing carbon emissions can be met.[1]

               

              In fragile and conflict affected countries (FCACs) climate change is one of the many factors that need to be contended with. Nevertheless, impacts from climate change can be wide-ranging and defy sectoral approaches, making it a very ‘wicked’ problem to contend with.[2] No easy solution can be found and coordinating across sectors makes for complex work. Moreover, it has been shown that doing something about climate change can cause perverse outcomes, further intensifying tensions and inflating grievances. This is because there is uneven distribution of costs and benefits from low carbon development between individuals, communities and even states.[3] The experience of low carbon development is not homogenous. Instead, it is differentiated between these actors and brings out the underlying structural inequalities, be they related to ethnicity, gender or class. In many FCACs, this is compounded by political divides and large disparities relating to poverty.

               

              Leveraging conflict sensitive approaches

              Various donors and implementing agencies have taken up the notion of conflict sensitivity to better understand how for example, development interventions, not limited to climate mitigation or adaptation, may produce harmful effects. Operational guidelines and toolboxes exist to help avert triggering violence and to fulfil the ‘do no harm’ principle.[4] The UK Conflict, Stability and Security Fund (CSSF) is noted as enhancing its practice of conflict sensitivity analysis and ensuring programmes remain dynamic to contextual changes.[5] In this article, we argue that conflict sensitivity in the context of climate and development identifies not only propensity for conflict but also helps uncover the significance of tensions emerging from development interventions. In other words, consideration needs to be given to insecurity as being a barrier to development – ranging from economic to education opportunities – as well as affecting individuals’ improvement of their own capabilities.[6]

               

              The benefits of applying conflict sensitivity are clear. Lessons learned from past examples of investing in renewable energy show that, if conflict sensitive approaches are not taken, then existing patterns of violence are reinforced, especially in the contexts of FCACs. The Gibe III dam in Ethiopia on the Omo River is an instructive case. UK involvement in this project has been questioned over the years, as resettlement of people affected has been problematic and criticised as far from satisfactory.[7] As a large-scale renewable electricity infrastructure located upstream of Lake Turkana, there has been an array of contestations over the costs and distribution of benefits.[8] There is controversy that the dam does not supply the energy needs of local households and thus does not serve much-needed rural electrification. It has also been claimed that the irrigation benefits from the dam are being used for cash crop production for one of the world’s largest sugar cane plantations instead of food staples in a region facing food insecurity. [9] There are multiple ethnic groups who rely on a range of livelihoods including fisheries, pastoralism and small-scale farming in this region, and a history of conflict over access to water involving small arms.[10] The project brought to the fore trade-offs between water, energy and food security that were not accurately considered in the environmental and social impact assessment (ESIA) of the project.

               

              The impacts of the dam are not merely technical calculations about water, energy and food security but require contextualised analysis embedded in local security issues. The dam impacted water levels, which had cascading effects for local livelihoods and ecosystems: it intensified water scarcity for the 300,000 individuals who rely on the lake’s resources.[11] This production of scarcity was wrapped up in armed violence between ethnic groups—there are a reported 17 ethnic groups in the Lower Omo Valley (Ethiopia) and Lake Turkana (Kenya)–, which further exacerbates competition for resources.[12] Despite this existing condition of instability, there was a problem of inclusion of communities’ concerns.[13] The trade-offs of dam construction needed to be understood through the interests of the communities relying on the Omo River and Lake Turkana.

               

              Furthermore, applying conflict sensitivity perspectives extends to understanding transboundary implications. The construction of the dam inevitably resulted in withdrawal of water from the lake. This had knock-on effects on cross-border movements of the semi-nomadic groups affected and increased conflict, which spilled across the Kenyan border as they sought water and pasture. The ESIA neglected integrated costs of the project, especially its transboundary impact of Lake Turkana water availability.

               

              The Gibe III dam project resulted in variegated costs and benefits for different stakeholders. Had a conflict sensitive lens been applied rigorously at the planning and implementation stage, there would be opportunities to consider not only avoidance of conflict repercussions but also enhancing project benefits for inclusive development.

               

              Taking long-term views on development consequences

              Good intensions can nevertheless result in harm, when actions towards adaptation can inadvertently place more burden. This is called ‘maladaptation’, which places disproportionate burden on those most vulnerable or incurs high opportunity costs.[14] Low carbon development projects that end up being maladaptive pose additional challenges. In FCACs, these actions can be problematic because they entrench existing tension and produce new vulnerabilities. It has been found that maladaptation impacts existing inequalities but also pose future risks as well.[15] Examples of modernisation of agriculture in places like Sub-Saharan Africa have showed that they can lead to environmental degradation, further resource conflict or exasperating livelihood conditions for those who are landless.[16]

               

              Seemingly ‘successful’ interventions may not disrupt existing conditions of peace; they can maintain the status quo of conflict without causing regression. However, low carbon development in the form of infrastructure can pose challenges in the long term. Large-scale projects like the dam highlighted above have socio-economic and ecological impacts that manifest over time. Even small-scale projects can have impacts down the line. For example, in a case of mini solar grid expansion in the Turkana region in Kenya, which was funded by then-Department for International Development (DFID), it was found that the design and location of adaptation projects highly determine those who benefit from the investment in infrastructure.[17] While there is no overt conflict at this stage, instalment of infrastructure restricts pathways of how, when, where and at what price community members access green energy in the future. In FCACs, establishing long-term views are particularly challenging but needed when considering the heightened vulnerability of communities.

               

              Scrutinising winners and losers

              Just as with any kind of development, low carbon development creates winners and losers. Technical assessments of project impacts are often void of the qualitative outcomes to individuals. Here the notion of absolute and relative winners/losers is helpful to give a sense of the lived experiences of impacts. Absolute winners and losers refer to groups or individuals that experience gains or costs compared to their own status quo before the project. In contrast, relative winners and losers emerge through a comparative look across different groups or individuals.[18] For example, a relative winner is identified when other groups bear more costs of the project. A relative loser may not be worse off but nevertheless does not benefit from the project.

               

              The absolute or relative nature matters because it sheds light on perceptions of individuals regarding their gains and losses induced by a project.[19] Furthermore, these perceptions can trigger contestations and thus a barrier to the implementation, much less success of a project.[20] Conflict sensitivity can better incorporate these grounded insights of absolute and relative winners/losers.

               

              The largest wind power project in Africa is a case in point. The Lake Turkana Wind Farm in Kenya has been lauded as a ‘catalyst’ for renewable energy production.[21] With a capacity of 310 MW and over 300 turbines, it represents Kenya’s ambition towards securing green energy as well as private investment opportunities, which includes British investment companies as the largest shareholder.[22] But this project has been marred by delays and legal cases, with domestic and international concern about the negative impacts. In court, it was ruled that the land acquisition process was illegal, having dispossessed indigenous communities from their land.[23] Clearly, local communities are absolute losers in this regard, with the project company as an absolute winner having benefited from the land acquisition process. Furthermore, the subsequent impacts of realising the wind farm generates relative winners and losers in employment. Jobs were handed out to those of the Turkana tribe, whereas proportionally fewer workers from the Samburu ethnicity were employed; both tribes have been affected by displacement, along with several other groups.[24] In a context of existing tensions between pastoralist groups in this region, the creation of relative winners and losers adds to rivalries and hostility.

               

              Intersecting climate change and security

              The COP26 discussions called for urgent action in the face of climate crisis. The underlying narrative presents this future crisis as dangerous and calamitous. There is no denying that many individuals will suffer the consequences of droughts, flash flooding and sea level rise. But this narrative should not be used as an excuse to label countries and regions – particularly of the Global South – as violent, irresponsible or doomed to insecurity. The concerns of climate security are bound up in issues of migration, terrorism and other factors pointing to the fragility of a state. These concerns can reveal some deeply problematic assumptions about risks and threats emerging from ‘ungoverned spaces’ of insecurity.[25] Such notion underlies the geopolitical order that distinguishes the Global South as the ‘other’ and shapes the need for development assistance or humanitarian aid as mechanisms to maintain this geopolitical configuration.[26]

               

              Rather than seeing regions or states as a faceless entity of danger or risk, there needs to be more attention paid to the vulnerable and marginalised individuals who are at the sharp end of climate impacts. The everyday is where climate and security intersect. The everyday struggles of maintaining a livelihood, the prevalent challenges of accessing clean water and recurrent blows to the way of life are real and pressing. Any kind of support towards climate mitigation and adaptation needs to consider their vulnerabilities.

               

              Charting the way forward for UK engagement in FCACs

              Predicting conflict or peace is not easy. There are no simple linear causations between climate change, conflict and various development programmes, whether for adaptation or mitigation. There is no guarantee how UK engagement will impact FCACs amidst multiple climate, political and socio-economic uncertainties. Nevertheless, it is possible to glean two key insights from experiences of low carbon development. First, there is a significant need to monitor how engagement affects conflict dynamics or contributes to peace. As the above sections highlighted, this monitoring needs take into consideration the qualitative impacts to individuals and over the long-term. Conflict sensitive approaches need to be maintained and revisited throughout programming.

               

              Second, any kind of climate action needs to be embedded in broader development agendas and plans. The urgency to tackle climate change should not blinker the debate and efforts towards addressing the underlying structures of poverty, inequality and marginalisation. The inadvertent and perverse impacts of low carbon development show that a critical and integrated approach is needed to consider security and vulnerability. As the examples above showed, security considerations must include local, regional and transnational scales. In addition, understanding vulnerability requires multi-sectoral perspectives that include livelihoods, food, water and energy. A comprehensive view to climate, development and conflict can provide a more robust justification of the UK’s engagement in FCACs.

               

              The Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy published earlier this year sets out ‘Global Britain’ and its vision of a values-driven foreign policy. The UK’s commitment towards a ‘force of good’ needs to be founded on deep understanding of these complex intersections across climate, development and conflict. Importantly, the Government needs to continually ask ‘force of good’ for whom through its engagement in FCACs.

               

              Dr Naho Mirumachi is Reader (Associate Professor) in Environmental Politics at the Department of Geography, King’s College London, UK. She leads King’s Water, an interdisciplinary research hub on water, environment and development. Her research focuses on the politics and governance of water resources, particularly in developing country contexts. Her research extends to issues of water diplomacy, water security and socio-political barriers to water sustainability. With over 15 years of experience, she has published extensively and is the author of Transboundary Water Politics in the Developing World (Routledge 2015) and Water Conflicts: Analysis for Transformation (Oxford University Press 2020). Naho recently served as lead author on freshwater policy for the 2019 UN Environment GEO-6 report and currently working on the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report.

               

              Marine Hautsch holds an MSc degree in Environment and Development from the Department of Geography, King’s College London. She is currently a research assistant working with Dr Naho Mirumachi on a Swedish Research Council funded international project on ‘Conflict Prevention and Low-Carbon Development: Opportunities for promoting and sustaining peace through renewable energy projects’.

               

              Image by Dean Calma/IAEA under (CC).

               

              This work was supported by Swedish Research Council for Sustainable Development Formas 2017–01941 Conflict Prevention and Low-Carbon Development: Opportunities for promoting and sustaining peace through renewable energy projects.

               

              [1] Urban, F. 2010. The MDGs and beyond: Can low carbon development be pro-poor? IDS Bulletin, 41(1), 92–99; Mirumachi, N., Sawas, A. and Workman, M. 2020. ‘Unveiling the security concerns of low carbon development: climate security analysis of the undesirable and unintended effects of mitigation and adaptation’, Climate and Development, 12(2), pp. 97–109. doi: 10.1080/17565529.2019.1604310.

              [2] Rittel H and Weber M, ‘Dilemmas in a General Theory of Planning’, Policy Sciences, Vol 4, No 2, June, 1973, pp 155-169.

              [3] Ibid.

              [4] Anderson, M. B. 2004. Experiences with Impact Assessment: Can we know what Good we do? In Transforming Ethnopolitical Conflict (pp. 193-206). VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften, Wiesbaden.

              [5] HM Government, Conflict, Stability and Security Fund: Annual Report 2019/20, January 2021, https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/956538/FCDO0044_CSSF_Report_2019-20_v4.pdf

              [6] Adano W.R., Dietz T., Witsenburg K., and Zaal F. 201.) “Climate change, violent conflict and local institutions in Kenya’s drylands”, Journal of Peace Research, vol 49 (1): 65-80; Sen, A. 2009. The Idea of Justice. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.

              [7] John Vidal, EU diplomats reveal devastating impact of Ethiopia dam project on remote tribes, The Guardian, September 2015, https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/sep/03/eu-diplomats-reveal-devastating-impact-of-ethiopia-dam-project-on-remote-tribes

              [8] Abbink, J. 2012. ‘Dam controversies: contested governance and developmental discourse on the Ethiopian Omo River dam’, Social Anthropology, 20(2), pp. 125–144. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-8676.2012.00196.x; Hodbod, J. et al. 2019. ‘Social-ecological change in the Omo-Turkana basin: A synthesis of current developments’, Ambio, 48(10), pp. 1099–1115. doi: 10.1007/s13280-018-1139-3.

              [9] Hodbod, J. et al. 2019

              [10] Human Rights Watch, “What Will Happen if Hunger Comes?” Abuses against the Indigenous Peoples of Ethiopia’s Lower Omo Valley, June 2012, https://www.hrw.org/report/2012/06/18/what-will-happen-if-hunger-comes/abuses-against-indigenous-peoples-ethiopias#:~:text=The%20Ethiopian%20government%20is%20forcibly,the%20Gibe%20III%20hydropower%20project

              [11] Carr, C. 2012. Humanitarian catastrophe and regional armed conflict brewing in the transborder region of Ethiopia, Kenya and South Sudan: The proposed Gibe III Dam in Ethiopia. Berkeley, CA: Africa Resources Working Group (ARWG).

              [12] Leslie Johnson, Kenya Assessment – Ethiopia’s Gibe III Hydropower Project Trip Report (June – July 2010), Mursi Online, July 2010, http://www.mursi.org/pdf/USAID%20July%202010.pdf; Mara Budgen, Gibe III dam disastrous for indigenous Ethiopians and Kenyans. “We can’t eat electricity”, Lifegate, October 2015, https://www.lifegate.com/gibe-iii-lower-omo-valley-lake-turkana

              [13] Abbink, J. 2012.

              [14] Barnett, J. and O’Neill, S.J. 2013. Minimising the risk of maladaptation: a framework for analysis. In: Palutikof, J.P. et al. (Eds.) Climate Adaptation Futures, pp.87-94. Hoboken, New Jersey: Wiley-Blackwell.

              [15] Magnan, A. K., Schipper, E. L. F., Burkett, M., Bharwani, S., Burton, I., Eriksen, S., and Ziervogel, G. 2016. Addressing the risk of maladaptation to climate change. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 7(5), 646–665. doi:10.1002/wcc.409; 25

              [16] Asare-Nuamah, P. et al. 2021. Farmers’ maladaptation: Eroding sustainable development, rebounding and shifting vulnerability in smallholder agriculture system. Environmental Development, 40, 100680; Mikulewicz, M. 2020. Disintegrating labour relations and depoliticised adaptation to climate change in rural São Tomé and Príncipe. Area. https://doi.org/10.1111/area.12630

              [17] Lomax, J., Osborne, M., Aminga, V., Mirumachi, N., and Johnson, O. 2021. Casual pathways in the political economy of climate adaptation: winners and losers in Turkana, Kenya solar mini-grid projects. Energy Research & Social Science, 8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2021.102296

              [18] O’Brien, K. L. and Leichenko, R. M. 2003. Winners and losers in the context of global change. Annals of the association of American geographers, 93(1), 89-103

              [19] Ibid.

              [20] Abbink, J. 2012.

              [21] David Whitehouse, Kenya’s Lake Turkana points the way forward for African wind power, The Africa Report, July 2019, https://www.theafricareport.com/15832/kenyas-lake-turkana-points-the-way-forward-for-african-wind-power/

              [22] Dr. Edward Mungai, British Companies Emerge Biggest Investors In Kenya’s Wind Farms, Africa Sustainability Matters, February 2020, https://africasustainabilitymatters.com/british-companies-emerge-biggest-investors-in-kenyas-wind-farms/

              [23] Louise Voller, Vestas’ wind farm in Kenya is the country’s largest green investment ever. Now a court has declared it illegal, Danwatch, November 2021, https://danwatch.dk/en/perspektiv/vestas-wind-farm-in-kenya-is-the-countrys-largest-green-investment-ever-now-a-court-has-declared-it-illegal/; Cormack, Z., & Kurewa, A. 2018. The changing value of land in Northern Kenya: the case of Lake Turkana Wind Power. Critical African Studies, 10(1), 89-107; Achiba, G. A. 2019. Navigating contested winds: Development visions and anti-politics of wind energy in Northern Kenya. Land, 8(1), 7

              [24] Kazimierczuk, A.H. 2020. Tracing inclusivity: Contribution of the Dutch private sector to inclusive development in Kenya. Case study of Unilever Tea Kenya Ltd., the flower sector and Lake Turkana Wind Power project, Thesis (PhD) Leiden University.

              [25] Hartmann, B. 2010. Rethinking climate refugees and climate conflict: Rhetoric, reality and the politics of policy discourse. Journal of International Development, 22(2), 233–246. doi:10.1002/jid.1676; 18

              [26] Mirumachi et al. 2020.

              Footnotes
                Related Articles

                The importance of Gender in FCACs and the wider Women, Peace and Security Agenda

                Article by Helen Kezie-Nwoha

                The importance of Gender in FCACs and the wider Women, Peace and Security Agenda

                The year 2020 marked 20 years of the landmark United Nations Security Council Resolution 1325(UNSCR1325) on women, peace and security.[1] Since then nine additional Resolutions have been adopted to reinforce the original agreements contained in UNSCR1325. There have been global commitments to ensure that these Resolutions are implemented at national level, through the development of National Action Plans (NAPS). As of August 2021, 98 countries globally have developed NAPs.[2] The United Kingdom (UK) was one of the first few countries to develop the NAP in 2006 and is currently implementing the fourth generation NAP (2018 – 2022).[3] The UNSCR1325 and its related resolutions constitute the Women, Peace and Security (WPS) agenda, which all provide the guidelines for addressing the impact on conflict on women and ensure women and girls participation in decisions around response to war impact and in all peacebuilding processes. The objective of this paper is to evaluate the role of the UK in promoting the WPS agenda, lessons learnt and the overall effectiveness of its interventions. The second is to assess how gender fits into the UKs recent Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy.

                 

                UK’s role in the WPS agenda

                The UK’s approach in promoting the WPS agenda following its development of the first generation NAP has focused on preventing conflict related sexual violence. It took the lead role in profiling the need to address sexual violence in conflict, provide training to ensure peacekeepers understand sexual gender based violence and its impact on women and girls, as well as ensure perpetrators are held accountable. In 2012, the UK led the global effort to end conflict related sexual violence by launching the Preventing Sexual Violence in Conflict Initiative (PSVI). This was followed by a global conference that brought together about 120 world leaders and civil society activists. The conference ended with a commitment by the Foreign Secretary to move from pledges to actions to end sexual violence in conflict. In the same year, the Protocol for the documentation and investigation of sexual violence in conflict was launched, aimed to ensure enough evidence for accountability. A follow up conference was planned but could not be held due to COVID-19 restrictions.

                 

                The other area of focus of the British Government has been the role of women in violent extremism. In 2015, the Government created the Conflict, Stability and Security Fund (CSSF) to tackle instability overseas, the CSSF replaced the Conflict Prevention Pool. In the 2016-17 plan, £500,000 was set aside by the FCO to ensure programme activities and research focus on increased understanding of women as victims, perpetrators and preventers of violent extremism. Building on its global leadership, in 2018 the Government allocated about £3.4 million to address sexual violence in conflict in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Myanmar, Columbia and Iraq, it also responded to the Rohingya crises as one of the largest donors contributing £129 million to humanitarian response. In addition to these contributions, the UK has demonstrated its global leadership on the WPS agenda by promoting women’s participation in peace processes and women and girls’ issues at the World Humanitarian Summit in May 2016. The UK contributed towards addressing sexual exploitation and abuse (SEA) by UN Peacekeepers through support for the UN outreach project to victims of SEA in the DRC and Central Africa Republic (CAR), including supporting the International Peace Support Training Centre in Kenya and strong support to the UN Secretary General’s agenda for reform. Following on from this, the UK played a significant role in supporting the adoption of the voluntary compact between Troop Contributing Countries (TCC) and the UN with respect to SEA, with the UK Prime Minister the first to join the Secretary General’s informal circle of leadership on SEA and also pushed for UNSCR2272, which allows for the repatriation of peacekeeping contingents where SEA is found to be widespread and systemic. The UK contributed £1.6 million towards amplifying the voices of women peacebuilders; launched a global call to action to drive lasting progress on gender equality by supporting education for women and girls in situations of conflict; endorsed the Safe School Declaration in April 2018; supported women’s mediators network across the Commonwealth; and ensured voices of women at the Security Council were heard (for example a female civil society representative from Iraq addressed the UNSC in 2018).

                 

                The UK NAPs progressively increased the countries of focus from initial three to nine in the current NAP (Afghanistan, DRC, Iraq, Libya, Myanmar, Nigeria, Somalia, South Sudan and Syria). At the national level, the UK NAP has focused on training and awareness of the armed forces on the rights of women and girls in conflict settings, enhancing policy coherence, improving the representation of women in armed forces, the inclusion of equality markers to all programmes in the CSSF and declaring gender equality funding for the CSSF.

                 

                Despite the impressive leadership role exhibited by the UK Government, there remain areas that require strengthening to ensure the UK plays its leading role on the WPS agenda as well as to effectively ensure women and girls in conflict benefit from the huge investments. An ICAI review of the PSVI found that the most significant achievement of the initiative is the Protocol on the Documentation and Investigation of Sexual Violence in Conflict, which has been used to access justice for survivors in Bosnia and Herzegovina, Columbia, the DRC, Myanmar, Syria, Uganda and Iraq.[4] The review noted that, despite efforts by the Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) to provide leadership at global and national level and convening countries to address sexual violence in conflict, the PSVI from the start lacked a strategic vision or plan that could have driven the initiative. Over time ‘high level ministerial interest waned’ and funding and staffing levels reduced, leaving the PSVI lacking a system of monitoring impact that makes it difficult to track progress or results from programmes implemented. GAPS latest assessment of the implementation of the WPS noted that even though the Government played a key role in the development and adoption of the Arms Trade Treaty (ATT) it continues to export arms to countries who have used weapons indiscriminately against civilian population.[5] Experience shows that such actions against civilians impact women and girls most. The report also noted the need for the NAPs to look inward and extend its commitment to Northern Ireland, refugees and asylum seeking migrants and trafficked women and girls from fragile and conflict affected countries.

                 

                Gender and the Integrated Review

                Following the UK’s departure from the EU, the Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy became an important action by the Government to carve a way forward for its foreign policies.[6] The overall aim of the review is to increase commitment to security and resilience to ensure British people are protected against threats, focused on territorial integrity, building critical national infrastructure, strengthening democratic institutions, and reducing the threat from states, terrorism and serious and organised crimes (SOC). The Review proposes four areas of focus of the strategic framework, including sustaining strategic advantage through science and technology; shaping the open international order for the future; strengthening security and defence at home and overseas; and building resilience at home and overseas. As with many Government policies, gender within the review document is an ‘add on and paste’ approach, there is no evidence that a gender analysis informed the review and proposed actions. However, there is a priority action to promote gender equality, which is believed to be enough for gender responsiveness. One of the significant gaps in the Review is the lack of analysis and inclusion of WPS. This takes away the opportunity to streamline the UK’s commitment to promoting the rights of women and girls in conflict. With this in mind, this paper will zoom in on the second area of the strategic framework: ‘A force for good: supporting open societies and defending human rights’, and more specifically on two priority actions that align more closely with gender, women, peace and security: to defend universal human rights and to promote gender equality.

                 

                The Integrated Review recognises that open societies are crucial building blocks in a sustainable international order, modelling inclusive, accountable and transparent governance. It also notes that such open societies and individual liberties on which they are built are under pressure in the physical and digital world. As rightly pointed out by the Integrated Review there is general decline in global freedom with autocracies becoming stronger and more influential. The UK plans to work with its global allies, like-minded partners and civil society worldwide to protect democratic values, and to achieve this it is important to start at home. The proposed actions to achieve this require further interrogation, but before then I would like to point out that the democratic values being promoted need to be clearly defined by the UK and agreed with the partners who it plans to support. This is because democratic values are defined and understood differently by different countries and most have defined their values based on their desire to move away from colonial legacies which the UK represents. It must also be noted that many democracies in Africa for example have failed and continue to struggle because colonial powers imposed the Western model of democracy, which was problematic to adapt with existing cultural traditions and leadership styles of the people. In addition, the African states have failed to fulfil the social contract that could have enhanced their legitimacy, with the majority of the countries having weak economies with high corruption and a lack of accountability. Going forward the UK Government needs to recognise the norms and values of democracy and ensure collaborative ways of improving democracy to determine and agree on the nature of support to be provided.

                 

                I now turn to the proposed priority actions: to defend universal human rights and to promote gender equality. The UK plans to promote human rights by using an independent sanctions regime to hold accountable those who violate human rights. The sanctions regime was established in 2020 which enables the UK to hold accountable those who violate human rights by imposing targeted asset freezes and travel bans. Asset freezing is an efficient preventive measure and has been effective in fighting terrorism, however the nature of human rights violations experienced by women, including conflict related sexual violence and sexual and gender based violence which is usually committed in the home and in public institutions, will not benefit from asset freezing as perpetrators usually remain in country and may not even have any assets that would warrant such actions. It would be more beneficial for the UK to assess the nature of human rights violations experienced by women in the context of shrinking civic space and during the COVID-19 pandemic to find appropriate strategies, such as supporting transparent and efficient justice systems to ensure justice for victims of human rights violations and in the case of building back better after COVID-19 ensure girls and women’s participation in post COVID-19 plans and actions. There is a need to focus on a victim-centred approach to addressing human rights violations.

                 

                The other priority area is to promote gender equality. To achieve this, the UK plans to work with women’s rights organisations (WROs) to address the root causes of gender equality including discrimination, violence and insecurity. The strategy to achieve this priority is to ‘use aid spending and diplomacy to pursue the goal of getting 40 million more girls into school in low and middle income countries by 2025, starting with the Global Partnership for Education Summit in 2021’.[7] As well as promote women’s economic empowerment at the WTO, G7, OECD, the UN and World Bank and in the UK’s free trade agreement (FTA). The review rightly identified some of the root causes of gender inequality as discrimination, violence and insecurity but missed out other factors that have facilitated gender inequality including social norms and practices and unequal power relationship between women and men.

                 

                While education is an important strategy to achieve gender equality, it would require other strategies running in tandem to ensure that the structural barriers to girls’ education is eliminated, this is applicable to so called peace times and in fragile and post conflict settings. In South Sudan, barriers to girls’ education include unfavourable sociocultural attitudes and practices that prevent girls from enrolling, being retained and completing school. The context in South Sudan where most people live below the poverty line instigates families to marry off their girls to acquire resources. In addition, early marriage and pregnancy result in higher levels of maternal and infant mortality. Other factors that prevent girls’ education include preference for educating boys instead of girls who will be married off, insecurity and cost of education. Some of these factors are sociocultural and require actions towards behavioural change and changes in cultural practices. If this is not done, despite the investment and good efforts to ensure girls are in school, it may not yield any significant change. In the COVID-19 context, when many countries have used locked down measures to curtail the spread of the disease, many girls have been married off or impregnated by strangers and relatives in some cases. In Uganda, UNICEF reported that between March and June 2020 there was a 22.5 per cent increase in pregnancy among girls aged ten to 24 years.[8] To promote gender equality, the Government must apply an intersectional approach to address the underlying factors that prevent girls’ education.

                 

                The ongoing discussion indicates that the UK Government speaks more than it can actually do, the strategies proposed at all fronts, whether at the implementation of the NAPs, the review process and the general commitment to taking the lead in promoting gender equality globally, do not match the commitments. A recent aid cut to research on issues of gender equality and women’s empowerment indicates the lack of political will to achieve the stated commitments. Feminist academics and women peace builders have raised concerns that women and girls worldwide are under threat of violence as a result of the aid cut by two-thirds. This action has been qualified as ‘backsliding’ on the Government’s commitment to promote gender equality. The UK Government claims that the cut is due to the need to respond to the economic impact of COVID-19 pandemic. Despite the reasons articulated, the aid cuts undermine its commitment to be a ‘force for good’ and take the lead in achieving gender equality globally, which further impacts on the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals. At a time when the world is grappling with the impact of COVID-19 on women and girls, there has been significant impact on women and girls in fragile and conflict affected countries, the UK must take a leadership role building on existing partnership to ensure that ‘building back better’ means girls and women’s needs and their participation in all rebuilding processes are prioritised.

                 

                The UK has shown evidence of its commitment to promoting gender equality and the WPS agenda through progressive frameworks and investments towards achieving set objectives. However, there is a disconnect between what is planned and how the plans are implemented. I would recommend the following:

                • The UK Government should strengthen its capacity to ensure it is able to address the gender gaps in its planning, implementation, and monitoring and evaluation of policies and plans. This will enable proper documentation of progress achieved and enable effective response to existing gaps;
                • Ensure all plans and policies are reviewed to mainstream gender, women, peace and security for coherence, synergy and sustainability of this agenda in all government’s programmes and policy commitments; and
                • The UK should use its experience and position as ‘a force for good’ to influence the global agenda on gender, women, peace and security.

                 

                Helen Kezie-Nwoha is the Executive Director of Women’s International Peace Centre an international feminist organisation that works on promoting the Women, Peace and Security agenda in Africa. Helen has over 20 years- experience working on women’s rights, gender, peace building, conflict resolution and governance in Nigeria, Liberia, South Sudan, Democratic Republic of Congo, Burundi, Uganda and Nepal. She has managed international and regional programmes; led advocacy efforts at international, regional and national levels specifically in Africa and Asia. Helen has researched women’s war experiences in several conflict affected countries in Africa.

                 

                Image by Amanda Voisard/UN Women under (CC).

                 

                [1] United Nations Security Council, Resolution 1325 (2000), October 2000, https://documents-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N00/720/18/PDF/N0072018.pdf?OpenElement; OSAGI, Landmark resolution on Women, Peace and Security, UN, https://www.un.org/womenwatch/osagi/wps/

                [2] 1325 National Action Plans (NAPs), see: http://1325naps.peacewomen.org/

                [3] FCDO, Ministry of Defence and CSSF, UK National Action Plan on Women, Peace and Security 2018 to 2022: report to Parliament 2020, Gov.uk, April 2021, https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/uk-national-action-plan-on-women-peace-and-security-2018-to-2022-report-to-parliament-2020

                [4] Tamsyn Barton, The UK’s Preventing Sexual Violence in Conflict Initiative, ICAI, January 2020, https://icai.independent.gov.uk/review/psvi/

                [5] GAPS UK, Assessing UK Government Action on Women, Peace and Security in 2020, April 2021, https://gaps-uk.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/GAPS-Shadow-Report-2020.pdf

                [6] Cabinet Office, Global Britain in a Competitive Age: the Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy, Gov.uk, March 2021, https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/global-britain-in-a-competitive-age-the-integrated-review-of-security-defence-development-and-foreign-policy

                [7] FCDO, Every girl goes to school, stays safe, and learns: Five years of global action 2021-2026, https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/986027/FCDO-Girls-Education-Action-Plan.pdf

                [8] Daily Monitor, Back to School: Addressing Key Issues Post COVID, September 2021, https://adrauganda.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/ADRA-News-13-September-2021.pdf

                Footnotes
                  Related Articles

                  A ‘Force for Good’? – Conclusions and Recommendations

                  Article by Tim Molesworth and Adam Hug

                  A ‘Force for Good’? – Conclusions and Recommendations

                  This collection of essays has looked at the ways in which the UK’s foreign policy engagement in FCACs is adapting to changes in the global foreign policy environment, the evolving nature of conflict and to changes in the UK’s institutional capacities and its place in the world.

                   

                  The nature of conflict in FCACs is shifting, along with the challenges they present the UK. The number of violent conflicts today is as high as at any point since the end of World War II, only matched by a period in the early 1990s. Unlike the 1990s, however, we are not seeing a parallel rise in peace agreements. This is at least partly due to the transnational impacts on conflict, including transnational crime, violent extremism, climate change, migration and, since 2020, COVID-19. It is also due to a tendency towards the increasing internationalisation of conflicts. While conflict still play out within borders, a larger number of international actors are directly or indirectly involved – increasing the complexity of conflict resolution processes and the number of stakeholders who need to be considered and included.

                   

                  The effect on the UK of this is of strategic importance. FCACs pose threats to international peace and security, undermining the stability of neighbouring countries. FCACs can provide ungoverned spaces in which transnational terrorist networks can develop and which can facilitate transnational crime. The situation in FCACs drive displacement, including refugee flows and other irregular migration into neighbouring countries and, ultimately, towards Europe and Britain. FCACs also provide a space for geopolitical competition, which the UK’s geopolitical competitors are able to exploit for strategic advantage, to develop partnerships or to disrupt the geopolitical status-quo. The UK, then, must be proactive in its engagement in FCACs, not only for its own security interests, but because supporting governments and communities in FCACs to resolve conflict and transition to a sustainable peace is the right thing to do and constitutes an obvious responsibility under the UK’s ambitions to be a ‘force for good’.

                   

                  As the UK’s strategic priorities change, increasing its focus on the Indo-Pacific and European Neighbourhood and reducing it in large parts of Africa and the Middle East, it will be important for the UK to ensure that its change in posture is managed carefully so as not to further destabilise FCACs. Wherever possible this should include retaining capacity and engagement in contexts crucial for the UK’s ‘force for good’ agenda beyond its priority regions wherever possible and adopting a more coherent approach to conflict sensitivity that should applied across the range of the British engagement with all FCACs.

                   

                  The UK has significant experience and expertise engaging in FCACs. As one of the most significant international donors, it has invested in the tools and capacities needed to understand conflict and leverage cross-government tools and resources to deal with conflict strategically. However, the UK’s approach to the world and its capacities to do so are changing. The 2020 Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy outlines a strategic framework for how the UK engages with the world. It indicates a more joined up and strategic approach between the foreign policy tools which the UK has available. Recent institutional changes, including the merger of the Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) and the Department for International Development (DFID) into the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO), provide an opportunity to more explicitly develop that joined up approach – particularly when dealing with complex, multidimensional problems such as those driving conflict in FCACs.

                   

                  However, it also comes with risks. Relating to FCACs, the Integrated Review calls for more focused and ‘politically smart’ interventions aimed at addressing drivers of conflict. This reflects language and perspectives such as the Elite Bargains and Political Deals work of the UK’s former Stabilisation Unit (now incorporated into a new conflict unit within the FCDO). These perspectives have a lot of value, in so far as they are intended to inform how aid and other foreign policy tools can contribute to peace in complex political economies. There is a risk, however, that a focus on elite bargains will end up deprioritising the longer-term structural peacebuilding contributions which are necessary to help countries transition to sustainable peace. It suggests a higher tolerance for engaging with national actors who do not necessarily act in ways that are compatible with the values which the UK espouses, an approach that needs to be used strategically but sparingly, while remaining committed to more integrated and long-term approaches to building sustainable and equitable peace.

                   

                  The publication makes the case for an integrated, conflict sensitive approach to the UK’s approach to the world both inside government and beyond. As well as building in a conflict sensitivity due diligence approach such as the conflict sensitivity tool outlined in the introduction across the full range of UK Government engagement in FCACs, it means also ensuring, as Helen Kezie-Nwoha writes, that gender analysis be made a more integral part of the UK’s policy development, informing all aspects of policy rather than being an ‘add on and paste’ approach as she puts it. She also rightly points out that the UK’s approach needs to be cognisant of and responsive to local dynamics, particularly in post-colonial contexts. As Kezie-Nwoha puts it ‘this is because democratic values are defined and understood differently by different countries and most have defined their values based on their desire to move away from colonial legacies which the UK represents’, noting the regular failure to make Western style institutions work within local cultural frameworks and leadership models, which have led to issues of corruption, weak legitimacy and poor accountability.

                   

                  Similarly, Dr Naho Mirumachi and Marine Hautsch highlight the need for conflict sensitivity both in dealing with the impact of climate change and ensuring that future green infrastructure does not replicate problems of previous international investments that have exacerbated local conflict dynamics (citing the Gibe III dam in Ethiopia and solar grid expansion in the Turkana region of Kenya as examples of poorly thought through green investment). Climate action needs to be fully integrated as part of, rather than in competition with, wider strategies to address the underlying structures of poverty, inequality and marginalisation that can fuel conflict. Phil Bloomer’s contribution widens this point out to argue that the UK’s wider economic engagement with fragile and conflict affected countries needs to be conflict sensitive and comply with international best principles for business and human rights.

                   

                  A number of authors, including Fred Carver and Rt Hon. Andrew Mitchell MP, have rightly made the case that the UK has an important role as a leader and convenor within multilateral institutions (including the UN, Commonwealth and NATO) if it chooses to continue to take this approach. A commitment to partnership at an international level must be matched with a commitment to building and resourcing local partnerships with civil society and peacebuilding, boosting from the ‘bottom-up’ as Dr Alexander Ramsbotham and Dr Teresa Dumasy argue.

                   

                  For a country reliant on its soft-power to project its influence, perception and trust are key. The UK must, as it considers how to engage in the world moving forward and how to operationalise the strategic vision outlined in the Integrated Review, ensure that it stands by its stated ambition to be a ‘force for good’ in the world. This is particularly important in FCACs, where the ways the UK engages can demonstrate, perhaps most starkly, the degree to which it acts in accordance with the values it promotes.

                   

                  The individual essays in this collection include a wide variety of policy recommendations regarding the particular areas of UK foreign policy engagement to which they relate. Some of the key recommendations include that the UK should:

                   

                  • Embed consideration of conflict sensitivity and the myriad direct and indirect ways in which its activities can worsen or address conflict into decision-making relating to all areas of UK engagement in FCACs, not just within aid projects where it has made significant progress but across HMG. It should look to embed a structured way of approaching conflict sensitivity due diligence to assess and mitigate the potential impact of interventions.

                   

                  • Ensure that its approach to engaging in FCACs puts peace in a central role. Wherever possible peacebuilding and peacemaking should not be in competition with other UK policy priorities for fragile and conflict-affected states, but at the heart of them; addressing violent conflict is often a precondition for advancing sustainable stability, and it is not always an inevitable product of other policy interventions without a clear focus on making it so.

                   

                  • Be willing and able to use a wide range of policy tools to assist in its conflict resolution and peacebuilding objectives including diplomacy, sanctions, aid, trade, military engagement (including peacekeeping), peacebuilding resources (both inside Government and in civil society), mediation (in appropriate contexts), and reform of private sector involvement in FCACs.

                   

                  • Find the correct balance in its aid activities between efforts aimed at promoting stability, for example through elite bargains and political deals, with the need also to address the structural drivers of violent conflict. ‘Politically smart’ aid should look to create the opportunities, through stability, to then allow for longer-term structural change which is necessary for the evolution of like-minded peaceful societies the UK would like to see.

                   

                  • Strengthen its peacebuilding and conflict resolution capacity. This could include:
                      • Bringing in more specialist expertise from the peacebuilding sector into government, building on the existing secondment systems for senior academics and by opening up recruitment;
                      • Improving coordination and information sharing across government and with external experts;
                      • Enhancing embassy and FCDO operational capacity, helping find ways for the UK to support smaller, local peace actors rather than relying on multilaterals or large private consultancies;
                      • Enabling local programming to become more responsive to evolving local situations and incorporating the learning developed through ongoing project delivery;
                      • Providing more settled priority setting and guidance to the CSSF, and
                      • Allowing for longer project timelines for peacebuilding work beyond the yearly budget cycle.

                   

                  • Leverage its strong convening capacity to build international coalitions, as the UK can rarely act alone in FCACs. It should use its ability to consider conflict from a wide range of perspectives in government, to multiply its impact by seeking to influence and shape the collective effort of international aid and other actions towards peace.

                   

                  • Address the gender gaps in its planning, implementation, and monitoring and evaluation of policies and plans, ensuring that they mainstream gender, women, peace and security priorities in all government programmes and pledges. It should maintain its commitment to influence the global agenda on gender, women, peace and security.

                   

                  • Use its position on the UN Security Council and involvement with the policy conversations to push for:
                        • Greater accountability to, and centring of, the communities at the heart of peacekeeping missions;
                        • To resist any urge for state-based mechanisms to micromanage peace operations;
                        • To resist state centricity in multilateral responses to areas of fragility and embrace the fact that states can often themselves be part of the problem and non-state actors part of the solution; and
                        • To counter any attempt to have UN resources or UN supported missions diverted into counter-terror operations, counterinsurgency, or other forms of warfighting.

                   

                  • Strengthen the conflict sensitivity of UK private sector activities, by strengthening the modern slavery act, introducing new legal responsibilities for companies that failing to prevent human rights abuses, corruption or that fuel conflict in FCACs and strengthening conflict and human rights sensitivity compliance in public procurement.

                   

                  • Improve compliance with the principles of the Arms Trade Treaty and strengthen due diligence checks on both the direct use of arms sold and on the indirect consequences of the arms trade. It should provide clearer red lines on arms sales and military collaboration with conflict actors.

                   

                  • Prioritise partnership in its engagement in FCACs. Partnership is key to effective peacemaking and peacebuilding – conflict is too complex and systemic for any one country or institution to tackle single-handedly. Working authentically in local partnership is the hardest, but most important challenge for UK Government and civil society alike to achieve our peace ambitions.

                   

                  • Embed understanding of the links between climate change, peace and conflict into its wider work on climate change. It should ensure that its work on climate change is conflict sensitive, taking into account the ways in which the necessary economic transformation for responding to the climate crisis can embed or address structural drivers of conflict.

                   

                  • Address the role of the UK and its Overseas Territories as facilitators of international corruption that can be a key driver of conflict in FCACs.

                   

                  Tim Molesworth is the Senior Advisor for Conflict Sensitivity and Peace Technology at the Peaceful Change initiative, a UK based peacebuilding NGO. He has 11 years’ experience working with the UN and NGOs in contexts such as Iraq, Syria, Sudan and Libya on strategic approaches to peacebuilding and conflict sensitivity.

                   

                  Adam Hug became the Director of the Foreign Policy Centre in November 2017, overseeing the FPC’s operations and strategic direction. He had previously been the Policy Director at the Foreign Policy Centre from 2008-2017. His research focuses on human rights and governance issues particularly in the former Soviet Union. He also writes on UK foreign policy and EU issues. He studied Geography at the University of Edinburgh as an undergraduate and Development Studies with Special Reference to Central Asia as a post-grad.

                   

                  Image by FCDO under (CC).

                  Footnotes
                    Related Articles

                    Why does the “lodestar of democracy” not promote justice and accountability regarding Iran?

                    Article by Drewery Dyke

                    October 22, 2021

                    Why does the “lodestar of democracy” not promote justice and accountability regarding Iran?

                    Between November 10th-14th 2021, activists and human rights groups will hold a people’s tribunal to examine who was responsible for gross human rights violations that took place in Iran in November 2019. In September 2021, Redress presented the UK Foreign Secretary with an appeal to impose targeted sanctions on Iranian officials. What is the back story and how should the UK Government react?

                     

                    On October 3rd 2021, the recently-appointed United Kingdom (UK) Foreign Secretary, Liz Truss, told a conference of members of the governing Conservative Party that “Britain has always been a lodestar of freedom and democracy”.[1] She said that “we will build a network of liberty across the globe”, stating that “the democratic world order faces a stark choice” and that “either we retreat and retrench in the face of malign actors or we club together and advance the cause of freedom.” We need, she asserted, “to rise to meet this moment”.

                     

                    Why, then, did Britain not act in unison with or follow the European Union (EU) in imposing human rights-rooted, targeted sanctions on eight Iranian government officials and three prisons when the EU did so in April 2021?

                     

                    Why does the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO, the UK’s Foreign and overseas aid Ministry) appear to show little interest in initiatives aimed squarely and advancing justice and holding human rights violators from the Islamic Republic of Iran to account?

                     

                    Where does the FCDO now stand on the dossier presented in September to the UK Government by the Free Nazanin campaign and REDRESS, supported by victims of hostage-taking in Iran calling for sanctions on specific Iranian officials or the calls by Justice for Iran to impose sanctions on 35 officials set out in the organisation’s February 2020 report Shoot to Kill: Preliminary Findings of Justice for Iran’s Investigation into the November 2019 Protests (pp. 30-38) or indeed the International People’s Tribunal on Iran’s Atrocities of November 2019, or Aban Tribunal, to be held in Westminster, London, November 10th-14th 2021?[2]

                     

                    Activists, alongside Justice for Iran, Iran Human Rights and ECPM – Together against the Death Penalty have mandated a group of renowned international lawyers and jurists to examine evidence and witnesses’ accounts relating to gross human rights violations that took place in Iran between November 15th-18th (called Aban in Persian) 2019.[3] Numerous sources, including the United Nations’ Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in the Islamic Republic of Iran, the UK scholar, Javaid Rehman, Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch have set out their assessments of the events of November 2019 in their work.[4]

                     

                    When the UK left the EU on January 1st 2020, it incorporated into (post-Brexit) UK law all human rights-related sanctions on specific individuals and entities agreed as an EU member. In respect to Iran, this included those enacted from 2011 and reviewed annually. As of July 2019, the EU had imposed targeted, specific sanctions on 82 individuals and one entity.[5] The European Commission’s annual review in 2020 produced no change, but in April 2021, the Commission identified a further eight individuals and three entities – each a prison.

                     

                    But whereas the UK has aligned itself with pivotal EU foreign policy decisions, say in relation to sanctioning Belarus leaders following state violence carried out following the disputed August 2020 presidential election, it did not do so in relation to Iran.

                     

                    It has appeared to drag its feet since then. Why?

                     

                    The irreversibility of International justice and accountability mechanisms

                    In 2020 the international accountability toolkit expanded in the EU and UK: in July 2020, the UK’s Global Human Rights Sanctions Regulations 2020 (GHR) entered into force followed in December 2020 by the EU’s Global Human Rights Sanctions Regime.[6]

                     

                    The world has reached an international justice point-of-no-return and if the UK wishes to join the club – as the UK Foreign Secretary said it does – to “advance the cause of freedom”, the FCDO needs “to rise to meet this moment”.

                     

                    The growing number of targeted sanctions regimes – those on individuals rather than whole countries – represent the globalisation of the United States’ (US) 2012 Magnitsky Act. Named for the Russian auditor and tax expert, Sergei Magnitsky, in 2009 he exposed fraud totalling $US230 million. Russian officials detained him on charges of collusion to commit tax fraud, but in November 2009 he died in pretrial detention in Moscow just eight days before he would have either had to be put on trial or released.[7] As a result of a campaign led by financier Bill Browder, then President Barack Obama enacted the US Congress bill carrying Magnitsky’s name.[8] It provides for the imposition of restrictions upon named individuals in respect to travel and access to US-based or owned financial services for credible reasons based on the named individuals’ violations of human rights standards or corruption, features retained by the UK, EU, Canadian and other, analogous, provisions. Person(s) and entities designated under the Act can challenge the designation, a feature likewise retained in the provisions enacted in other jurisdictions.

                     

                    These measure reflect growing international awareness and acceptance of forms of international justice and accountability bookmarked by the 1945-6 Nürnberg (Nuremburg) trials.[9] In recent decades hybrid courts have been established to investigate and prosecute large-scale crimes under international law in countries which have gone through conflict or crisis, such as Bosnia, Cambodia and Sierra Leone. Likewise, the ad hoc International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda and that for the former Yugoslavia, both now closed, prosecuted atrocities committed in those countries. With its establishment in 2002, the International Criminal Court (ICC), the international community created a permanent court to “investigate and prosecute people suspected of committing genocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes and (since 2018) the crime of aggression in situations where national authorities are unable or unwilling to act genuinely.”[10]

                     

                    Significantly, however, the universal is now also the national: the prosecution by national courts of crimes under international law – wherever the alleged acts may have happened – is increasingly routine. Based on the principle that individual states have a duty to protect the international community or international order itself by prosecuting such cases, one such is the case against former Iranian official Hamid Noury, in Sweden. It shows that alleged crimes from 1988 in one state can be successively prosecuted in 2021 in another.[11]

                     

                    The thirst for justice that this case represents is what drives Richard Ratcliffe. Islamic Republic of Iran security officials arbitrarily detained his wife Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe in 2016 and as of September 23rd 2021, marked 2,000 days of unjust detention.[12] Since her detention, the Iranian authorities have unjustly detained at least three others, Anoosheh Ashoori, Morad Tahbaz and Mehran Raoof, in what some commentators term ‘hostage diplomacy’.[13]

                     

                    It is also what drives those who face enormous risks to take part in November 10th-14th 2021 International People’s Tribunal on Iran’s Atrocities of November 2019 – the Aban Tribunal, which will allege that political and security leaders of the very highest echelon actually ordered people to be shot, killed, maimed or tortured.[14] Details of the alleged acts and their perpetrators can be viewed at Justice for Iran’s Faces of Crime website.[15]

                     

                    The thing is, the justice and accountability toolbox now contains the means to advance justice. If the Iranian (or any other) government will not hold alleged perpetrators of gross human rights violations to account, we can demand justice elsewhere.

                     

                    What should the UK and other governments do now?

                    It is time for Liz Truss to “rise to meet this moment”.

                     

                    The FCDO should address, openly, the appeal made by the Free Nazanin campaign and REDRESS, supported by victims of hostage-taking in Iran.[16] What does it say? What does the FCDO propose to do about it? Why not tell the House of Commons? Why not invite Iran experts to an open consultation to examine the ramifications?

                     

                    The UK Government – and every single government that respects the rule of law and seeks to uphold international law – should sign up (via Eventbrite) to send observers to the Aban Tribunal.[17] Come listen to eye and material witnesses; and expert witnesses. Let the suffering and injustice you hear shape your governments’ policies. Open your toolbox to hold violators of human right to justice; if you cannot do that, then impose targeted sanctions on them.

                     

                    The thirst for justice and human dignity demands action.

                     

                    Image by Aban Tribunal.

                     

                    [1] Liz Truss, Foreign Secretary, The network of liberty, CPC21 Speeches, Conservatives, October 2021, https://www.conservatives.com/news/the-network-of-liberty

                    [2] REDRESS, The Free Nazanin Campaign and REDRESS Call for Magnitsky sanctions on Perpetrators of Iran’s Hostage-taking, September 2021, https://redress.org/news/the-free-nazanin-campaign-and-redress-call-for-magnitsky-sanctions-on-perpetrators-of-irans-hostage-taking/; Justice for Iran, see website: https://justice4iran.org/; Justice for Iran, Shoot to Kill!, Preliminary Findings of Justice for Iran’s Investigation into the November 2019 Protests, Submission to the Council of the EU, February 2020, https://justice4iran.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/SHOOT-TO-KILL-Preliminary-Findings-of-Justice-for-Irans-Investigation-into-the-November-2019-Protests.pdf

                    [3] Justice for Iran, see website: https://justice4iran.org/; Iran Human Rights, see website: https://www.iranhr.net/en/; ECPM, see website: https://www.ecpm.org/en/

                    [4] UN General Assembly, Situation of human rights in the Islamic Republic of Iran, Report of the Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in the Islamic Republic of Iran, Javaid Rehman, July 2020, https://undocs.org/pdf?symbol=en/A/75/213; Amnesty International UK, Iran: mass torture following brutal crackdown of November protests – new report, September 2020, https://www.amnesty.org.uk/press-releases/iran-mass-torture-following-brutal-crackdown-november-protests-new-report; Human Rights Watch, Iran: No Justice for Bloody Crackdown, February 2020, https://www.hrw.org/news/2020/02/25/iran-no-justice-bloody-crackdown#:~:text=(Beirut)%20%E2%80%93%20Iranian%20authorities%20have,Human%20Rights%20Watch%20said%20today.&text=The%20government%20imposed%20a%20near,from%20November%2015%20to%2019

                    [5] Council Regulation (EU) No 359/2011 of 12 April 2011 concerning restrictive measures directed against certain persons, entities and bodies in view of the situation in Iran, EUR-Lex, https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A02011R0359-20190709

                    [6] UK Statutory Instruments, The Global Human Rights Sanctions Regulations 2020, July 2020, https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2020/680/made; Official Journal of the European Union, Legislation 410 I, December 2020, https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=OJ:L:2020:410I:FULL&from=EN

                    [7] Mike Eckel, U.S. Settles Magnitsky – Linked Money Laundering Case On Eve Of Trial, RFE/RL, May 2017, https://www.rferl.org/a/magnitsky-prevezon-u-s-settlement-6-million/28483793.html

                    [8] Bill Browder, see website: https://www.billbrowder.com/

                    [9] Britannica, Nurnberg trials, Last updated October 2021, https://www.britannica.com/event/Nurnberg-trials

                    [10] Amnesty International, International Justice, https://www.amnesty.org/en/what-we-do/international-justice/

                    [11] Justice for Iran, Timeline of Hamid Noury’s Trial, September 2021, https://justice4iran.org/15730/

                    [12] Amnesty International UK, Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe: What’s Happening?, October 2021, https://www.amnesty.org.uk/nazanin-zaghari-ratcliffe-whats-happening

                    [13] Stephen M. Walt, Why ‘Hostage Diplomacy’ Works, Foreign Policy, February 2021, https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/02/17/why-hostage-diplomacy-works/

                    [14] Aban Tribunal, see website: https://abantribunal.com/

                    [15] Faces of Crime, see website: https://facesofcrime.org/

                    [16] Gov.uk, Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office, https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/foreign-commonwealth-development-office; REDRESS, The Free Nazanin Campaign and REDRESS Call for Magnitsky sanctions on Perpetrators of Iran’s Hostage-taking, September 2021, https://redress.org/news/the-free-nazanin-campaign-and-redress-call-for-magnitsky-sanctions-on-perpetrators-of-irans-hostage-taking/

                    [17] Aban Tribunal, see website: https://abantribunal.com/

                    Footnotes
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